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ibility. His mineshaft scenario works if it somehow maximizes return in the big picture. My language differs from Keynes’ in several ways. I prefer Myrdal’s ex ante - ex post dichotomy, published three years after the General Theory, to Keynes’ equivalent attempted-realized one. Like Myrdal, and unlike
Wealth of Nations published in 1776, proposed growth by belt tightening. Most tradition has agreed, with the proviso that new ideas must come first. Solow raised doubts about the role of consumption restraint, but stopped short of denying a need for it. Mill acknowledged both ways to grow. My charts and
twice. Chapter 4 will restate it in terms of total including human capital just to make sure. It is an unsettling argument either way. It unsettled Solow. Chapter 2 showed why. Weare probably more comfortable to think of income as something known which we can slice into consumption and saving slices a
nvestment is the path out of slumps. Investment will come when prospects of return do. Although the General Theory was published three years before Myrdal’s ex ante - ex post distinction, Keynes would have realized the same thing. | think he made the understandable mistake of supposing that the differen
te for eight nations over four to fourteen decades. They will show the same for dividends when we come to that. Economists would be less surprised. Solow has prepared them for the news. In 1956 and 1957 he showed evidence that most growth is not explained by capital accumulation, or saving through cons
ybe Jevons or John Rae or Leon Walras. Time has not been kind to the teachings of Keynes. I would now rank his teacher Alfred Marshall higher. I like Myrdal’s magnificent ex ante - ex post distinction. Boehm Bawerk and the Austrian school are underrated. The pantheon might have room for him. Am I being
Macroeconomics 2/8/16 23 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011112 I would tax capital gains as much as ordinary income for the same reason. Level the playing field. Solow saw most of the truth, but didn’t go far enough. Mill saw more. And even Mill stopped short. All we have to do is look at the charts and tables. Capi
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