Epstein Secrets

sses the baton to the next. Our investment horizon is the generation length. Its reciprocal, or one over that period, gives our time preference rate. Jevons also saw time preference as the reciprocal of the period of production, but did not connect that to the generation length. I adjust Petty’s estimate

Wealth of Nations published in 1776, proposed growth by belt tightening. Most tradition has agreed, with the proviso that new ideas must come first. Solow raised doubts about the role of consumption restraint, but stopped short of denying a need for it. Mill acknowledged both ways to grow. My charts and

twice. Chapter 4 will restate it in terms of total including human capital just to make sure. It is an unsettling argument either way. It unsettled Solow. Chapter 2 showed why. Weare probably more comfortable to think of income as something known which we can slice into consumption and saving slices a

productive consumption theory developed from Malthus through Mill in 1848. It lapsed from attention with the marginalist revolution beginning with Jevons and Menger in 1871, ironically the year of publication of Darwin’s The Descent of Man, because the marginalists treated explanations of tastes as irr

te for eight nations over four to fourteen decades. They will show the same for dividends when we come to that. Economists would be less surprised. Solow has prepared them for the news. In 1956 and 1957 he showed evidence that most growth is not explained by capital accumulation, or saving through cons

the two as intellectual equals. Mill seems a clear second, thanks to his superb paragraph on growth. The candidates for third seem well behind. Maybe Jevons or John Rae or Leon Walras. Time has not been kind to the teachings of Keynes. I would now rank his teacher Alfred Marshall higher. I like Myrdal’s m

Macroeconomics 2/8/16 23 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011112 I would tax capital gains as much as ordinary income for the same reason. Level the playing field. Solow saw most of the truth, but didn’t go far enough. Mill saw more. And even Mill stopped short. All we have to do is look at the charts and tables. Capi