the future. Correlation 0.25 0.20 5 015 4 014 0.10 - 0.05 - 0.00 Since 1957 Since 1970 Data through 03 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Haver Analytics, Olivier Blanchard, “Three Remarks About the US Treasury Yield Curve,” Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 22, 2016. We have examin

ion production production Source: Nationa Bureau of Statistics, PROC, China Automotive Information, China Economic Information Network, CLSA-Markit, Haver Analytics. J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, ISI Group, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. * PMI data areindexlevel. Housingprice toincome, cement production and steel produc

an Buildup Iraq War (10) (20) 64 72 81 90 98 07 Trump? 16 Through September 30, 2016 Four-year moving average Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Haver Analytics occurred in the mid- 1960s, during President Lyndon Johnson's term, and ran for five years. That was tied to the military engagement in Southeast Asi

les House sales Core imports —Consumer confidence (rhs) <100 = pessimism Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Source: Haver Analytics. TurkStat. CBT. end Deutsche Bank 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 Deutsche Bank Bank 4 CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. GRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0070

f US corporate bonds ...with ECB signaling OE exit foreigners are now net sellers of US credit 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Source: Treasury, Haver Analytics, O5 Global Research a S billion - 30 - 25 - 20 15 10 05 - -5 - -10 Deutsche Bank Research Tram Stoic torsten.slokedb.com +1 212250-2155

f US corporate bonds ...with ECB signaling OE exit foreigners are now net sellers of US credit 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Source: Treasury, Haver Analytics, O5 Global Research a S billion - 30 - 25 - 20 15 10 05 - -5 - -10 Deutsche Bank Research Tram Stoic torsten.slokedb.com +1 212250-2155

0 1995 Note: Housing includes purchase, rent and home improvement. Government savings occur when government runs a surplus. Ta Source: BEA, CMS via Haver Analytics. < kpcb.com USA Inc. | Summary CB www.kpcb.com USA Inc. xvii HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020840 With these trends, USA Inc. will not be immune to the sudden c

a TE - S Note: Housing includes purchase, rent and home improvement. Government savings occur when government runs a surplus. KP Source: BEA, CMS via Haver Analytics. (@E) www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 408 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021045 USA Income Taxes Higher, Consumption Taxes Lower

7% 4.6% 25.1% -7.8% -13.1% 3.5% -5.5% 38.2% 13.2% 4.4% 18.6% 22.5% 48.6% 22.2% -9.8% 15.0% 25.6% 6.9% -4.5% Source: Deutsche Bank, Haver Analytics, Thomson Reuters -10.2% 18.7% Tech Tech -15.9% -33.2% 25.6% 13.2% 38.1% -20.8% 42.0% 16.8% -28.8% Consumer Growth Consumer Plays Con D

sus oil price — YoY growth, both USD (%) Source: Deutsche Bank (Marc Balston, Robert Burgess, Drausio Giacomelli, Gustavo Canonero, Taimur Baig), Haver Analytics Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP Our long-standing overweight position on Turkish equities has been by far the least successful of our

ted with private inflows since the late 1990s Figure 6: Relative to the private basic balance, the dollar is expensive Source: DB FX Research and Haver Analytics Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 25 EFTA01464356 30 July 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives: FX and the