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urope, especially France and Germany. Because of the winner takes all system in France we find investors are more concerned with the situation there. Marine Le Pen and the Front National look likely to make it to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investors will be cautious about European markets. A Le Pen victory could likely bring the future of the EU and the Euro into question as she has talked about France withdrawing from both. That in turn has arg
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →tedtt yield 12/80 12/84 12/88 12/92 12/96 12/00 12/04 12/08 12/12 200 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, MSCI, Datastream Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Datastream European Yield Screen The rising rates backdrop has left yield not quite as scar
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014448 →crucial French elections. A Bankof America Merrill Lynch European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 5 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014464 --- PAGE BREAK --- Marine Le Pen victory could bring into question both the future of the EU and also the euro, should the polls be close it could make the uncertainty and market mov
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →0 066 = G/99—s—«<OG/O2—sC«OG/OS.s«OG/OS=—OG/11 (06/14 06/96 8606/99) (OG/02—sCO6/NSsC«G/OSS(G/11 S(O /14 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, MSCI, IBES Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, MSC The other metric that illustrates the valuation overhang in Europe is the ri
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014468 →erica 16 European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014475 --- PAGE BREAK --- Barty argued in The Trump Inflection, Le Pen’s victory has the potential to be even more of an earthquake for the world’s financial markets. Indeed, we have already seen a 1vol move in April 2017
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014476 →isis highs. % 700 639 600 500 + 400 300 + 1951 1959 1967 1975 1983 1991 1999 2007 2015 Data through 03 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Datastream. The anemic (but steady) pace of this recovery has fueled a debate about its causes. The theories fall into six categories: e A “hangover” from the
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014542 →ak away from the European Union? In France, for example, upcoming elections in May 2017 are likely to pit Francois Fillon of Les Républicains against Marine Le Pen of the far right Front National. Le Pen has promised a referendum on whether France should stay in the European Union, and, should she win, questions
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014561 →example, upcoming elections in May 2017 are likely to pit Francois Fillon of Les Républicains against Marine Le Pen of the far right Front National. Le Pen has promised a referendum on whether France should stay in the European Union, and, should she win, questions about the viability of the Eurozone wil
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014561 →Entities connected to both Marine Le Pen and Datastream

Donald Trump
PERSON
Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Angela Merkel
PERSON
Chile
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Middle East
LOCATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATION
Malaysia
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Michael Bloomberg
PERSONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
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Yemen
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Frankfurt
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Seoul
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European Union
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Bashar al-Assad
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Venezuela
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