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urope, especially France and Germany. Because of the winner takes all system in France we find investors are more concerned with the situation there. Marine Le Pen and the Front National look likely to make it to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investors will be cautious about European markets. A Le Pen victory could likely bring the future of the EU and the Euro into question as she has talked about France withdrawing from both. That in turn has arg
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →co Multiplo S.A., regulated by Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company, ertill Lynch Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Company, regulated by the Capital Market Authority. This research report: has been approved for publication and is distributed in the United Kingdom (UK) to professional clients and eligible counterpa
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →crucial French elections. A Bankof America Merrill Lynch European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 5 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014464 --- PAGE BREAK --- Marine Le Pen victory could bring into question both the future of the EU and also the euro, should the polls be close it could make the uncertainty and market mov
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →erica 16 European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014475 --- PAGE BREAK --- Barty argued in The Trump Inflection, Le Pen’s victory has the potential to be even more of an earthquake for the world’s financial markets. Indeed, we have already seen a 1vol move in April 2017
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014476 →co Multiplo S.A., regulated by Comissdo de Valores Mobiliarios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company, errill Lynch Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Company, regulated by the Capital Market Authority. This research report: has been approved for publication and is distributed in the United Kingdom (UK) to professional clients and eligible counterpa
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →rate cut. The risk to this view is if tail risk scenarios unfold in European politics, such as an early election in Italy with Five Star winning, or Le Pen wining the second round in the French elections. Although we expect markets to be more concerned about European politics following the US elections,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014747 →ut it earlier if Renzi loses the referendum. The 2017 French election is another concern. President of the far-right party and presidential candidate Marine Le Pen is ahead in the polls to win the first round. Winning the second round is much more difficult, as she will need more than 50% of the votes, but inves
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014754 →tent of our regulation by th India}; and is issued and distributed in Singapore to insti errill Lynch Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Company, regulated by the Capital Market Authority. f Affiliate Research Reports: LPF&S distributes, or may in the future distribute, research reports of the following non-US affiliates in the US (s
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014785 →Entities connected to both the Capital Market Authority and Marine Le Pen

Donald Trump
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATION
United States
LOCATION
the Financial Services Agency
ORGANIZATION
George Soros
PERSON
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Credit Suisse
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Philippines
LOCATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
George W. Bush
PERSONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATIONthe Australian Securities and Investments Commission
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION