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10 Global Cross Asset Strategy - Year Ahead | 30 November 2016 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 15: Eurozone PMI's point to solid growth Chart 16: Japanese growth expected to accelerate in 2017 60.0 3.0 58.0 —_.,. = 2.0 Forecasts 56.0 54.0 1.0 52.0 50.0 0.0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014442 →d long RUB/ZAR. The former has dropped as the EUR has weakened against the USD. We continue to think that the Swedish economy is more robust than the Eurozone and that the Riksbank will sooner or later have to adjust monetary policy accordingly. We see a lot more room for this pair to move in 2017, particul
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014445 →S): Merrill Lynch (Canada): Merrill Lynch Canada Inc, regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comision Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →, PMI’s and consumer confidence pointing to a solid Q4 to follow. That quarter is currently tracking at 3.6% according to the Atlanta Fed. Chart 13: Eurozone PMI’s have picked up of late... Chart 14: US Consumer Confidence now at post-GFC highs 60.0 120 100 59.0 80 50.0 60 40 45.0 ———US Consumer Confidence
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →n for investors as we enter a busy year for European politics (see table opposite} is whether the populism train will gather pace or terminate at the Eurozone. Italy risks elevated, but risks two way and banks the bigger issue Although Italy goes to the polls this year, it is worthwhile starting with this
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014475 →S); Merrill Lynch (Canada): Merrill Lynch Canada Inc, regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ad | 16 November 2016 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014735 --- PAGE BREAK --- target. It is possible that Trump’s election could weaken fiscal discipline in the Eurozone over the medium term, but we are more concerned by the non-trivial risk that the ECB may disappoint in the December meeting by either not extending q
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014736 →S); Merrill Lynch (Canada): Merrill Lynch Canada Inc, regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014785 →Entities connected to both Merrill Lynch Mexico and Eurozone

United Kingdom
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Donald Trump
PERSONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
United States
LOCATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATION
Seoul
LOCATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION
the Financial Services Agency
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATIONthe Capital Market Authority
ORGANIZATIONBank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited
ORGANIZATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATION