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Microsoft Word - 07-25-11 - EOTM - White Castle.docx
ility would have to increase from 440 bn to 1.7 trillion Euros, mostly from Germany). Italy es EFSM 600 400 200 faces a multi-notch downgrade from Moody’s, which is not going to help. As we discussed two weeks ago, Italy has been a model citizen in terms of running low budget deficits for 20 years, but
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →h more time to fail. Industrial production Index, 100 = January 2007 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 15 2007 2009 2010 2011 Source: INE, CSO, ISTAT, NSS, Eurostat, Bundesbank, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Periphery = Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain. 2008 * The current EFSF len
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →quire fiscal adjustments of a magnitude that, in some cases, will test social cohesion. ' - Pierre Cailleteau Managing Director of Sovereign Risk at Moody’s, 3/16/2010 .../f there are not offsetting measures to reverse the deterioration in negative fundamentals in the U.S., the likelihood of a negative o
ll public sector employees e Reduce state payroll via attrition e 50% bonus tax on top bank executives e Privatize state-owned industries Source: Eurostat, European Commission, IMF, New York Times, Financial Times, BBC, Wall Street Journal. USA Inc. | Consequences of Inaction 426 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_02105
Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
that the EU lending facility would have to increase from 440 bn to 1.7 trillion Euros, mostly from Germany). Italy faces a multi-notch downgrade from Moody’s, which is not going to help. As we discussed two weeks ago, Italy has been a model citizen in terms of running low budget deficits for 20 years, but
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025217 →reland, Spain & Portugal 16% 105. 14% 100 17% i 10% od B% 85 G% Germany ad Ao, a aa 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0% aa ae ; Source: INE, CSO, ISTAT, NSS, Eurostat, Bundesbank, J.P. Morgan Ve7O gf TOG 188 TO 1D ZO aT Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Periphery =Portugal, Ireland, lialy, Source: J.P. Morg
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025218 →Entities connected to both Moody’s and Eurostat

Barack Obama
PERSON
JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATIONMichael Cembalest
PERSON
Chile
LOCATION
George W. Bush
PERSONJ.P. Morgan Securities LLC
ORGANIZATION
Belgium
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Empirical Research Partners
ORGANIZATION
Bundesbank
ORGANIZATION
FactSet
ORGANIZATION
Hungary
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Eurozone
ORGANIZATIONthe European Monetary Union
ORGANIZATION
European Union
ORGANIZATION
United States
LOCATION
Norway
LOCATION
Columbia University
LOCATION
Venezuela
LOCATION