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ng 20% Leading and gaining Energy Telecom Health Care Cons. Staples Lagging and slipping -15% -10% Source: Deutsche Bank, Thomson Reuters Utilities -5% 0% YTD Total Return 5% 10% Leading but slipping 15% Cons. Disc. Page 42 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. MTD Total Return 3 Month Total
scussed in this report is available upon request. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any person for any purpose without Deutsche Bank's prior written Copyright @ 2015 Deutsche Bank AG consent. Please cite source when quoting. 17th Floor, 11372 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. informati
ities Inc. EFTA01476546 20 November 2015 US Equity Insights Additional Information The information and opinions in this report were prepared by Deutsche Bank AG or one of its affiliates (collectively "Deutsche Bank"). Though the information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from public
of an underlying security, effectively assume currency risk. Unless governing law provides otherwise, all transactions should be executed through the Deutsche Bank entity in the investor's home jurisdiction. United States: Approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Bank Securities Incorporated, a member of FIN
Hindocha Global Chief Operating Officer Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Level 16 Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets Sydney, NSW 2000 Australia Tel: (61) 2 8258 1234 Deutsche Bank AG London 1 Great Winchester Street
and Industrials worry us a great deal. Most of the rest of the market, both the S&P and the Russell 2000, seem fully valued except a few big Banks, Utilities, Airlines, and some of our specific stock picks. EFTA01476108 Fortunately, Health Care and Tech represent 35% of the S&P 500. These two sectors d
3.6 -3.3 -2.5 -3.4 -9.7 -7.6 -3.2 62.0 120.0 175.0 250.0 4.6 -0.3 -0.9 CA bal., % GDP Source: National authorities, Deutsche Bank Research 0.2 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 41 EFTA01476081 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Bond Market Strategy: Peak policy divergence IIThe
0.25% 5.0% 2.5% 3% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.59 3.37 3.65 9.33 2.25 Figure 7: Our intrinsic valuation model S&P 500 Capi tal ized EPS Valuat ion Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS EFTA01476121 "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS No
n of Wealth/Soiree of Funds? High Risk Financial Institutions Provide Evidence of Corporate MSS (e.g. balance sheet or equIvalent summary of assets/Utilities): The source of wealth for this entity primarily comes from Jeffreyfipstein and Caroline Lane. Please revert to their individual sources of wealth f
v or Frendsh4e, descnte) O Family El Friendship 2 None To the best of your knov.lectge, is the indiNdual party to a non-bariking rdabonship with Deutsche Bank (e.g., external legal counsel, client referral source, supplier of goods or services)?(IT Yes,descrite 1 r-i r__, Yes 0No If applicable, imitate
alth Care Consumer Staples Financials Financials IT Cons Discretionary Industrials Industrials Financials Industrials Financials Telecome Utilities IT Cons Discretionary Health Care IT Consumer Staples Utilities Industrials Utilities Consumer Staples Financials EFTA01470806 28 Secto
s of March 31, 2014 (unless noted otherwise) Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management For Internal Use Only 2 EFTA01470764 Wealth Management One of Deutsche Bank's five core businesses Deutsche Bank Private & Business Clients Corporate Banking & Securities Asset & Wealth Management Global Transaction
strials remain a significant concern. Most of the rest of the market, both the S&P and the Russell 2000, seems fully valued except a few big Banks, Utilities, Airlines, and some of our specific stock picks. We do not believe that a recession looms or that S&P profits will fall again in 2016. We also do
Matthew Luzzetti, (44) 20 754 73288 Michael Spencer, (852) 2203 8303 EFTA01475995 Mark Wall, (44) 20 754 52087 Torsten Slok, (1) 212 250 2155 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 17 EFTA01475996 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity US: Dollar drag IIOn the back of weak manufacturin
(China —5%) A continued profit recession, Foreign Cons Disc Cons Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Tech Materials Telecom Utilities S&P 500 per share Avg oil price Euro Avg FF rate US UE yr end US GDP Global GDP Source: Deutsche Bank Sales % Profits % 27% 28% 41% 18%
el. We set DPS equals to EPS and assume long-term growth is only inflation. Figure 42: Capitalize steady state earnings at the real cost of equity Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P
ncials Health Care Industrials Tech ex. Fin ex. En Disc. S&P Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Tech Materials Telecom Utilities Health Care Industrials Tech Materials Telecom Utilities Ex. En, Fin, HC Disc. Staples Energy Financials ex. Fin ex. En ex. Tech En, F
Insights 20 November 2015 Page 26 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Figure 52: Our S&P Intrinsic Valuation Model S&P 500 Capitalized EPS Valuation Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P
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