Epstein Secrets

n. Further exchange rate depreciation is expected to help through the ongoing adjustment process, but some large countries like Brazil, Venezuela, Colombia, and Peru do need to see a bigger correction in their current account deficits. Weaker currencies and depressed economic activity will create a gro

ted real bond yield, inverted (rhs) -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Datastream, Bloomberg Finance LP Figure 2: We expect 14% EPS growth in the Euro area in 2016, driven by a cyclical rebound in earnings Euro area EPS growth U

ia Indonesia Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore Sri Lanka EFTA01476183 Taiwan Thailand Vietnam Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru Venezuela G7 Advanced economies EM economies Global 2015F 2.4 0.7 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.7 3.2 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.1 -0.1 1.5 5.2

3.48 12.50 * High inflation regime and controls prevent to have a valid market reference. Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Bloomberg Finance LP, Datastream; as of Dec 07 0.72 7.46 EFTA01476212 9.25 9.29 1.09 1.46 1.49 1.63 27.0 313.1 4.20 334.8 4.32 4.49 73.88 15.7 3.14 25.17 6.96

Saudi 12m Fwd PE 27 EM 12m Fwd PE 25 Average 23 eoccccce Average 2.1 1.9 nhs 1.5 1.3 14 09 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0 10 (12181 8H Source: DataStream, |/B/E/S, Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Source: DataStream, |/B/E/S, Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Research Interestingly, no

AFRICA m@ BRAZIL MEXICO m RUSSIA = MALAYSIA (EM) = INDONESIA m= THAILAND ~ PHILIPPI m SAUDI = TURKEY = CHILE m= POLAND @ QATAR m UAE m= COLOMBIA m PERU m GREECE m HUNGARY EGYPT m@ CZECH REPUBLIC Source: : BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, MSCI and DataStream 46 GEMs Paper #26 | 30 June