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Investment Strategy
Jan-15 memes Industrial production - inventory (3m mva yoy%) —— SCI Japan cyclical/defensive Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Haver Cyclical = Industrials, consumer discretionary, IT, materials Defensive = Healthcare, telecom, consumer staples, utilities Calculated cyclical and
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014405 →sives June '12 Fundamentals June '14 Production June '13 Contraction Recovery Cyclicals Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Haver 23 09 07 05 e SF SF SF 9 eee TSE Bank/ TSE REIT Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Exhibit 4: Reactions to US Treasury curve
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014406 →isién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Secur
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014408 →uwait SaudiArabia Dubai RRS RRRKRKRKCKKRRKRKKAA Source: Haver, IMF, Saudi Ministry of Finance, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. 2015 data, Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Implied rate of return on SAMA reserve assets Investment income and transfer of profits of public entities for K
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016117 →Cc fo?) f=] —_ N oO t+ wo . . 7 : : oS SoS o oo So So oS So Oo x x x x —- x Qatar Abu Dhabi Kuwait SaudiArabia Dubai RRS RRRKRKRKCKKRRKRKKAA Source: Haver, IMF, Saudi Ministry of Finance, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. 2015 data, Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Implied rate of re
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016117 →ision Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch (japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co. Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Secur
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016194 →Investment Strategy
1000 60 900 40 800 =— Percentage of Countries with J. ——MSCI EM, RS 20 700 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15 1/16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Haver, Bloomberg Chart 29: EM cyclicals outperform as China’s NOMINAL GDP recovers. More to go. eee SCI EM cyclicals/EM defensives price index, LS 180 =
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014447 →misién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Secur
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →S2SSZFSSSRSPESPSLZESS 5 8 gpg = 8 & & & Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Haver, EPFR Bankof America “2 Global Rates, FX & EM 2017 Year Ahead | 16 November 2016 27 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014757 --- PAGE BREAK --- Best V
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014758 →isién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lynch Secur
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014785 →1% | 0% t t t t t t t t t t t t t t 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Source: Investment Strategy Group, Haver. Of course, the recent backup in interest rates is providing equity investors with another source of angst. Yet our work suggests there are several
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026912 →tion in Canada; in the United States by Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC; in Hong Kong by Goldman Sachs (Asia)L.L.C.; in Korea by Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Seoul Branch; in Japan by Goldman Sachs(Japan) Ltd; in Australia by Goldman Sachs Australia Pty Ltd (ACN 006 797 897); and in Singapore by Goldman Sachs (S
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026921 →Entities connected to both Seoul and Haver

Donald Trump
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Philippines
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION
Columbia University
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATION
Angela Merkel
PERSON
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATION
the Financial Services Agency
ORGANIZATION