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ules. Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited, Frankfurt Branch (BAMLI Frankfurt) distributes this report in Germany and is regulated by BaFin This research report has been prepared and issued by MLPF&S andror one or more of its non-US affiliates. MLPF&S is the distributor of this research
terest rate 7 Real 10 year yield based on headline CPI 6 5 4 3 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 —US —Japan —Euro Area Source Bloomberg Chart 12: The term premium means that currencies maintain a positive spread between their 2 year and their 10 year interest 2Y10
Investment Strategy
ur China ACT indicator continues to indicate steady growth there too. Our economists forecast 3.5% global GDP growth with EM growth around 4.7%. Our Euro Area growth numbers have been nudged back up towards 1 %% with Brexit not proving to be as much of a drag as feared. We still expect the UK economy to see
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 →een improving Growth indicators have been improving around the world of late. Data since the US election would seem to support that with the PMIs in the Euro Area improving again and their equivalent in the US sustaining the gains seen last month. Our EM indicators remain robust and our China ACT indicator con
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 →rules. Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited, Frankfurt Branch (BAMLI Frankfurt) distributes this report in Germany and is regulated by BaFin. This research report has been prepared and issued by MLPF&S and/or one or more of its non-US affiliates. MLPF&S is the distributor of this research
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →from the voters) or will we find relief for the markets if by the end of 2017 froma Fillon/Merkel duo being in charge of the two largest economies in the Euro Area. Recovery - the world looks a better place going into 2017 Reflation has been the big theme of the second half of the year. As we had noted in previ
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →obal Research Reversal: There is good taper and bad taper The outcome of that would likely affect ECB behaviour too. Our central expectation is for Euro Area growth of around 1 %% and inflation nudging only modestly higher. A much more robust global economy and a stronger USD (presumably weaker EUR} would
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014466 →rules. Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited, Frankfurt Branch (BAMLI Frankfurt) distributes this report in Germany and is regulated by BaFin. This research report has been prepared and issued by MLPF&S and/or one or more of its non-US affiliates. MLPF&S is the distributor of this research
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →Entities connected to both BaFin and Euro Area

Frankfurt
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
Seoul
LOCATIONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATION
the Financial Services Agency
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATIONBank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONOtoritas Jasa Keuangan
ORGANIZATIONthe Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada
ORGANIZATION