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anco Multiplo SA, regulated by Comissao de Yaores Mobiliario% Merrill Lynch KSA Company, Merrill Lynch Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Company. regulated by the Capital Market Authority. This research report has been approved for publication and is distributed in the United Kingdom (UK) to professional dients ad eligible counterpati
balances point to deficits of 210 kbd in 2017 and 90 kbd in 2018. We lower our WTI forecasts to average $47 this year and $50.bbl next year. We cut Brent to $50 this year and $52bbl in 2018. We now beleve oil stays in contango by yearend. but see a WTI forward anchor al $45.50 and S5 backwardation by
chi Stock Exchange and regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan. Saudi Arabia: J.P. Morgan Saudi Arabia Ltd. is authorized by the Capital Market Authority of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (CMA) to carry out dealing as an agent. arranging. advising and custody, with respect to securities business under li
ll as weaker supply growth, largely in Iraq and Libya. • Recent reports of a peace agreement in Libya between the rebels and the government caused Brent to fall by around 5%. We think a quick and full recovery in production is unlikely and we also think overall production capacity is now lower due t
chi Stock Exchange and regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan. Saudi Arabia: J.P. Morgan Saudi Arabia Ltd. is authorized by the Capital Market Authority of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (C MA) to carry out dealing as an agent, arranging• advising and custody, with respect to securities business under l
rporates (CEMBI) 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 21.0% 16.4% 15.4% Quarterly Averages Commodities Current 1204 1301 1302 1303 GSCI Index YID Return' Brent (Sibbl) 110 105 112 105 120 Energy -3.7% Gold (Stoz) 1733 1725 1750 1775 Precious Metals 8.7% Copper IS/metric ton) 7629 8300 8500
rachi Stock Exchange and regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan. Saudi Arabia: M. Morgan Saudi Arabia Ltd. is authorized by the Capital Market Authority of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (CMA) to carry out dealing as an agent, arranging. advising and custody, with respect to securities business under li
make the largest gain with close to 14%, closely followed by base metals and precious metals with 12% and 9% respectively. Our oil strategists see Brent at $120/bbl by year end, driven by higher demand as the global economy should improve sequentially towards the end of 2013. Agriculture prices are
Entities connected to both the Capital Market Authority and Brent

Malaysia
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United Kingdom
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New Zealand
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Bloomberg L.P.
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Frankfurt
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JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATIONDeutsche Bank Securities Inc.
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the Financial Services Agency
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Philippines
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United States
LOCATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATIONJapan Investment Advisers Association
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Columbia University
LOCATIONthe Securities and Futures Commission
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities Commission
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
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North America
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Chile
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Michael Bloomberg
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