Epstein Secrets

macro trade" of short yen / buy equities is also a possibility. Our Buy-rated stocks in bank, insurance and cyclical sectors are listed in Table 1. Shusuke Yamada, CFA FX/Equity Strategist Merrill ~ | Global Research Bankof America a Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014400 --- PAGE BREAK --- Japan Economics

rom a low-yield environment (REITs) outperformed the converse (banks, insurance; Chart 3). However, we expect conditions to reverse into 2017. We see US Treasury yields rising and Japanese core CPI inflation recovering to +1.4% yoy by 2018 and core- core to +1.1% yoy. Stronger inflation and higher foreign yiel

losures on page 5 to 6. 11687576 Timestamp: 17 November 2016 03:30PM EST Bankof America Merrill Lynch 18 November 2016 Investment Strategy Japan Shusuke Yamada, CFA >> FX/Equity Strategist Merrill Lynch (apan) +81 3 6225 8515 [email protected] Exhibit 1: Sector rotation and inventory cycle Slowdown

rom a low-yield environment (REITs) outperformed the converse (banks, insurance; Chart 3). However, we expect conditions to reverse into 2017. We see US Treasury yields rising and Japanese core CPI inflation recovering to +1.4% yoy by 2018 and core-core to +1.1% yoy. Stronger inflation and higher foreign yield

=== 6m change in 30y real rates (RHS, inverted == USGGT10Y Index (R1) 5y5 | rates scale, %4) yoy real ra Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, US Treasury The BAML multi asset strategy index is not representative of all isk-parity funds. Si : BofA Merrill Lynch Global R h Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Glo

19). First, given USD/JPY’s significant correlation with 10Y yield differentials (>60%}, the anchoring of 10Y yields will further weigh on the Yen as US Treasury yields rise. Second, further Japanese fiscal stimulus will successfully lower real yields through higher breakeven rates of inflation while nominal y

K --- Best Relative Value Trades Athanasios Vamvakidis Erjon Satko MLI (UK) MLI (UK) [email protected] [email protected] Arko Sen Shusuke Yamada, CFA >> MLI (UK) Merrill Lynch (Japan) [email protected] [email protected] Relative value in a macro world « Long EUR/JPY: data and positionin

losures on page 6 to 8. 11686246 Timestamp: 13 November 2016 06:10PM EST Bankof America Merrill Lynch 14 November 2016 Investment Strategy Japan Shusuke Yamada, CFA >> FX/Equity Strategist Merrill Lynch (iapan) #8] 3 6225 8515 [email protected] Paul Ciana, CMT Technical Strategist MLPF&S +1 646 855

naged to last just for one day after the US election. The insurance sector has been the best performer since the US election on the back of a steeper US Treasury curve and higher rates. Michael Hartnett observes “violent rotation out of deflation to inflation plays”, including a move from REITs to US banks. Th