Epstein Secrets

From: Joscha Bach To: Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]> Subject: Re: Decision making Date: Wed, 26 Aug 2015 20:26:59 +0000 1. Does luck mean gambling, or getting the probabilitie

n? 2. What else tells you anything about the future? (The past also tells us how much is does not tell us about the future) Am 26.08.2015 um 16:23 schrieb jeffrey E. <[email protected]>: luck plays a role. 2, looking back ( bayesian ) might not tell you anthing about the future. On Wed, Aug 26, 2015 at 3:44 PM,

From: Joscha Bach To: Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]> Subject: Re: Decision ma

bout the future) Am 26.08.2015 um 16:23 schrieb jeffrey E. <[email protected]>: luck plays a role. 2, l

bout the future) Am 26.08.2015 um 16:23 schrieb jeffrey E. <[email protected]>: luck plays a role. 2, lo

sic limit to probabilistic descriptions in a highly complex world, where we cannot observe baseline probabilities anyway. How do you decide? Do you Solomonoff-induce and Bayes the hell out of the stock market, do you reason, do you soak up data and let your intuitions guide you, or is most of the important

From: "Jeffrey E." <[email protected]> To: Joscha Bach Subject

n? 2. What else tells you anything about the future? (The past also tells us how much is does not tell us about the future) Am 26.08.2015 um 16:23 schrieb jeffrey E. <[email protected]>: luck plays a role. 2 , looking back ( bayesian ) might not tell you anthing about the future. On Wed, Aug 26, 2015 at 3:44 PM

From: "Jeffrey E." <[email protected]> To: Joscha Bach Sub

sic limit to probabilistic descriptions in a highly complex world, where we cannot observe baseline probabilities anyway. How do you decide? Do you Solomonoff-induce and Bayes the hell out of the stock market, do you reason, do you soak up data and let your intuitions guide you, or is most of the important

From: Joscha Bach < Sent: Wednesday, August 26, 2015 7:45 PM To: Jeffrey Epstein Subject: Decision making Re motivation: Have you seen the recent movie "Ex Machina"= I liked it; one of the few Al movies that have not been dumb

Wednesday, August 26, 2015 7:45 PM To: Jeffrey Epstein Subject: Decision making Re motivation: Have y

Sent: Wednesday, August 26, 2015 7:45 PM To: Jeffrey Epstein Subject: Decision making Re motivation

sic limit to probabilistic descriptions in a =ighly complex world, where we cannot observe baseline probabilities =nyway. How do you decide? Do you Solomonoff-induce and Bayes the hell out of =he stock market, do you reason, do you soak up data and let your =ntuitions guide you, or is most of the important

From: "Jeffrey E." <[email protected]> To: Joscha Bach <, Subj

From: "Jeffrey E." <[email protected]> To: Joscha Bach <,

sic limit to probabilistic descriptions in a highly complex world, where we cannot observe baseline probabilities anyway. How do you decide? Do you Solomonoff-induce and Bayes the hell out of the stock market, do you reason, do you soak up data and let your intuitions guide you, or is most of the important