Epstein Secrets

to US growth — relative to the start of the year — since the financial crisis. Peter Hooper, (1) 212 250 7352 Matthew Luzzetti, (44) 20 754 73288 Michael Spencer, (852) 2203 8303 EFTA01475995 Mark Wall, (44) 20 754 52087 Torsten Slok, (1) 212 250 2155 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 17 EFTA01475996 8 Dec

Rising means easier, falling means tighter # of standard deviations 20140101 20140618 20141203 20150520 20151104 Source: Deutsche Bank Research , Bloomberg Finance LP, Haver Analytics LP Figure 7: Bottom-up fiscal stance estimates underestimating extent of fiscal easing in 2016 1.5 0.5 1 -0.5 0 -1.5 -1

G/London Page 77 EFTA01476241 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Contacts Name Coverage David Folkerts-Landau Michael Spencer Economics Peter Hooper Torsten Slok Joe LaVorgna Mark Wall Stefan Schneider Mikihiro Matsuoka Michael Spencer Taimur Baig Gustavo Canonero

rilsk, Alcoa, Glencore, Southern Copper, Anglo American and Vale Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Company reports, Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Bloomberg Finance LP 2017E Glencore 1Y CDS spread Grant Sporre, (44) 20 754 58170 Michael Hsueh, (44) 20 754 78015 EFTA01476156 Page 66 Deutsche Bank AG/London D

Page 51 EFTA01476552 David Folkerts-Landau Chief Economist and Global Head of Research Raj Hindocha Global Chief Operating Officer Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Level 16 Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets

sectors are highlighted in green (red) All sectors within 5% of their 5 year high are highlighed in yellow Source: Deutsche Bank, Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg Finance LP 2015 PE (ex. Neg EFTA01476521 EPS) 18.4 17.5 14.4% 3.6% 2.8% 20.4 17.2 17.1 26.1% 22.3 16.5% 5.7% 18.6 16.8 11.6% 22.2 14.8% 4.5%