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90, Euro area and US Q4-07 Vertical lines indicate the peaks in easing for long term real rates Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Haver Analytics LP, Bloomberg EFTA01476084 Finance LP, ECB, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Eurostat, BEA, CAO Similarly, the output gap has mirrored the dynamics of credit,
ebt restructuring appears difficult to avoid, with the government being harshly constrained politically by a protracted recession with inflation. Gustavo Canonero, (1) 212 250 7530 Figure 3: Public debt dynamics turning fragile for some countries Source: IMF, Deutsche Bank Research Figure 4: Deutsche Bank f
est *Prices are current as of the end of the previous trading session unless otherwise indicated and are sourced from local exchanges via Reuters, Bloomberg and other vendors . Other information is sourced from Deutsche Bank, subject companies, and other sources. For disclosures pertaining to recommend
Michael Spencer Economics Peter Hooper Torsten Slok Joe LaVorgna Mark Wall Stefan Schneider Mikihiro Matsuoka Michael Spencer Taimur Baig Gustavo Canonero Strategy Dominic Konstam Francis Yared Oleg Melentyev Jim Reid David Bianco Sebastian Raedler Alan Ruskin George Saravelos Michael Hsueh B
0 1 yr 3 year 5 year Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg LP EM relative valuations are not as cheap as th
l returns of Turkish equities versus oil price — YoY growth, both USD (%) Source: Deutsche Bank (Marc Balston, Robert Burgess, Drausio Giacomelli, Gustavo Canonero, Taimur Baig), Haver Analytics Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP Our long-standing overweight position on Turkish equities has been by f
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