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rned with the fall of the Syrian regime. Syria has been Iran's one significant ally, one strategically positioned to enhance Iranian influence in the Levant. Its fall would be a strategic setback for Iran at a time when Tehran is looking to enhance its position with the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq. Iran, wh
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031922 →olicy in Lebanon - wholly dependent on Iran. And Iran without its Syrian ally is very far away from Hezbollah. Like Tehran, Hezbollah thus also wants al Assad to survive. Hezbollah joining Hamas in a confrontation with Israel would take the focus off the al Assad regime and portray his opponents as undermin
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031922 →can see that Alawite leadership will not leave power without a long and bloody fight. Recreating a sphere of Turkish-modeled Sunni influence in the Levant may be a long-term goal for Ankara, but the Turkish government is certainly not prepared to pay the near-term cost of civil strife in Syria spillin
cape the army's siege, the situation in Syria is undoubtedly growing desperate. However, we have not yet seen the red flags that would indicate the al Assad regime is in imminent danger of collapse. The reasons are fairly straightforward. The al Assad clan belongs to Syria's Alawite minority, who only 4
ties to the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood to achieve political legitimacy. When unrest spread into Syria and began to threaten Iran's position in the Levant, Hamas made a strategic decision to move away from the Iran-Syria axis, now on the decline, and to latch itself onto the new apparent regional tren
t U.S. military buildup in the Persian Gulf and an intensifying U.S.-led economic warfare campaign slowed Iran down, but it was the decline of the al Assad regime that put Iran on the defensive. An emboldened Sunni opposition in Syria, backed by the West, Turkey and the Arab Gulf states, could spill in
escape the army's siege, the situation in Syria is undoubtedly growing desperate. However, we have not yet seen the red flags that would indicate the al Assad regime is in imminent danger of collapse. The reasons are fairly straightforward. The al Assad clan belongs to Syria's Alawite minority, who only 40
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030163 →s can see that Alawite leadership will not leave power without a long and bloody fight. Recreating a sphere of Turkish-modeled Sunni influence in the Levant may be a long-term goal for Ankara, but the Turkish government is certainly not prepared to pay the near-term cost of civil strife in Syria spilling
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030164 →Entities connected to both Levant and al Assad

Lebanon
LOCATION
Bashar al-Assad
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Tehran
LOCATION
Saddam Hussein
PERSON
Tunisia
LOCATION
Yemen
LOCATION
Cairo
LOCATION
Hosni Mubarak
PERSON
Benjamin Netanyahu
PERSON
Damascus
LOCATION
North Africa
LOCATION
Middle East
LOCATION
Jerusalem
LOCATION
Bill Clinton
PERSON
Terje Rod-Larsen
PERSON
Ankara
LOCATION
Fatah
ORGANIZATION
Mahmoud Abbas
PERSON