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Microsoft Word - 07-11-11 - EOTM - Twilight of the Gods.docx
k since there are no binding committments at all 110% 100% 90% Little progress on debt reduction despite 20 years of primary budget surpluses 80% 70% Maastricht limit 60% 50% 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Source: International Monetary Fund. So to be clear, the Twilight of the Gods has not
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030812 →ession derailed them, leaving Italy with the same elevated debt burden they started with 20 years ago. I believe that eventually, the constituency of the European Monetary Union will have to change. However, my colleagues in J.P. Morgan Securities' economics group disagree. They believe that the EMU will survive intact, and b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030812 →anking system? [3] This crisis is not just about sovereign debt/deficits. Ireland and Spain were model EMU citizens, with deficits inside of the 3% Maastricht level for years. The problem: total sovereign, corporate, financial and household debt, and each country's ability to service it. Despite reductions
eside the point. Last week's EoTM summarized our take on the market, economic, political and investment implications of the continued unraveling of the European Monetary Union. What would change our views? A full-scale German underwriting of the EMU problem. How likely is that? Wenn Schweine fliegen k6nnen (when pigs fly)
Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
ize their banks * Language (with no specifics) regarding the use of EU structural funds to boost growth in Greece What the EU gets: more austerity, Maastricht with teeth (?) and private sector involvement in Greek debt rollover * Legally binding national fiscal framework to be developed by end of 2012; fisc
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025217 →on IMF International Monetary Fund HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025219 --- PAGE BREAK --- IF Institute of International Finance ECB European Central Bank EMU European Monetary Union AMT Alternative Minimum Tax A White Castle hamburger is smaller than its competitors’ offerings, measuring 2.5 inches square. The material containe
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025220 →Microsoft Word - 07-25-11 - EOTM - White Castle.docx
ize their banks * Language (with no specifics) regarding the use of EU structural funds to boost growth in Greece What the EU gets: more austerity, Maastricht with teeth (?) and private sector involvement in Greek debt rollover * Legally binding national fiscal framework to be developed by end of 2012; fis
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →Insurance Contributions Act EU European Union IMF International Monetary Fund IF Institute of International Finance ECB European Central Bank EMU European Monetary Union AMT Alternative Minimum Tax A White Castle hamburger is smaller than its competitors’ offerings, measuring 2.5 inches square. The material contain
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025225 →Entities connected to both Maastricht and the European Monetary Union

JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATIONMichael Cembalest
PERSONJ.P. Morgan Securities LLC
ORGANIZATION
Bundesbank
ORGANIZATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Eleanor Roosevelt
PERSON
Moody’s
ORGANIZATION
Empirical Research Partners
ORGANIZATIONJ.P. Morgan U.S. Private Bank
ORGANIZATION
Eurozone
ORGANIZATION
Belgium
LOCATION
Office of Management and Budget
ORGANIZATION
Hungary
LOCATION
Bernard Connolly
PERSON
Ronald Reagan
PERSON
Harry Reid
PERSON
Mitch McConnell
PERSON
the Heritage Foundation
ORGANIZATION
White Castle
ORGANIZATIONthe Gang of Six
ORGANIZATION