Epstein Secrets

igure 1: The basic balance has turned positive... Figure 2: ...as current account surplus outweigh the net FDI outflows Source: DB FX Research and Eurostat Source: DB FX Research and Eurostat Figure 3: EUR/USD strongly correlated (0.88) with bilateral basic balance with the US Figure 4: Bilateral bas

-300 -200 -100 0 Jan-92 USD Bn Annualized Trade Balance Annualized Trade Balance,3m Sum Annualized Trade Balance,12m Sum Jan-96 Source: DataStream, Deutsche Bank. Fig 3: The narrowing in the deficit reflected a outpacing of import growth by export growth 15 25 -35 -25 -15 -5 5 10 20

Fig 20: U.S. Trade Balance — Capital Goods Monthly (US$ bn.) (bars) -4 -2 0 2 4 6 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: DataStream Annual (US$ bn.) (line) 10 20 30 40 50 -30 -20 -10 0 -45 -40 EFTA01464548 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 Source: DataStream Mon

gure 35: The basic balance remains in an uptrend... Figure 36: ...as current account surplus outweighs the FDI outflows Source: DB FX Research and Eurostat Source: DB FX Research and Eurostat Page 30 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc EFTA01464361 30 July 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives: FX and the Fina

Bn Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-00 Jan-04 Jan-08 Jan-12 Annualized Trade Balance Annualized Trade Balance,3m Sum Annualized Trade Balance,12m Sum Source: DataStream, Deutsche Bank. -900 -800 -700 -600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 Figure 2: US and world industrial growth remains sedate 10 15 -15 -10

(line) 20 40 60 -120 -100 -80 -60 -40 EFTA01464390 -20 0 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: DataStream Source: DataStream Figure 18: U.S. Trade Balance — Petroleum Products Monthly (US$ bn.) (bars) -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 1994 1996 1998 2000 200

ll public sector employees e Reduce state payroll via attrition e 50% bonus tax on top bank executives e Privatize state-owned industries Source: Eurostat, European Commission, IMF, New York Times, Financial Times, BBC, Wall Street Journal. USA Inc. | Consequences of Inaction 426 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_02105

s of 2010) rose to 4.8% of GM’s annual expenses and $4,679 in annual pension payments per worker to former workers. Source: General Motors, FactSet, DataStream, History News Network. www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | Consequences of Inaction 432 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021057 Comparing GM & USA, Inc... General USA 2010 Mo