Epstein Secrets

tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ subsidiaries at reduced rates. Non-Financials in the S&P hold at least $1.2tn in overseas cash (mostly Tech and Health Care). If half was used for buybacks, this could add 3% ($4) to S&P 500 EPS. A redux of 2004 where companies used 80% of cash for buybacks may be less lik

-recur.impact -3.50 -5.00 -6.00 Recurring impact 7.00 1.50 -3.50 One-time repat. tax 8.50 -8.50 Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, FactSet, Compustat, S&P “Assumes end to interest deductibility only applies to new debt, where we estimate 70-90% of debt is long-term. Note: For this exhibit, we assu

5% share shrink. Ex. Energy & Financials, as much less y/y litigation expense at Banks, 2015 S&P EPS was up 6% or 10% ex. 4% FX drag. Growth led by Health Care and big consumer oriented Tech firms. We expect growth to slow at these two S&P segments, but remain key growth drivers. II2016E S&P EPS of $125 i

Health Care vs. Energy & Financials 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 0 5 Tech + Health Care Energy + Financials Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Compustat, S&P Earnings weights of Tech & Health Care vs. Energy & Financials S&P EPS estimates & targets: 2015E S&P EPS: $119 2015 end S&P target: 2100

TES, ON). For screening purpose, our over-weight industries for mid and small caps are all industries in Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Tech. DB Analyst 16% Paul Ginocchio, CFA 72% Nandan Amladi 28% 30% 15% Alan Hellawell Paul Trussell George Hill 16% Gunnar Romer 23%

49 47 60 138 EFTA01476503 49 393 83 53 90 112 308 84 66 187 54 55 54 74 35 341 69 20 95 62 37 112 Source: Deutsche Bank, Compustat, Thomson Reuters *Net Buyback Yield is calculated as (trailing 12-month buyback expenditures less option exercise proceeds and less stock option ex