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Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
Debt limit to gov. receipts nd Source: OMB, BEA, J.P. Morgan Private Bank Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, th
on. Attractive valuations for US large cap growth stocks Percent g% 7 70, 70 Nominal free cash yield Post-dividend free cash flow margin Source: Empirical Research Partners Q2 earnings season in the US is off to a good start. Nearly 30% of the S&P has reported, and results have generally been positive. Earnings are beat
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4 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 Source: OMB, BEA, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, t
ctive valuations for US large cap growth stocks Post-dividend free cash flow margin ‘71 ‘74 ‘77 '80 '83 ‘86 '89 '92 '95 '98 ‘01 '04 ‘07 '10 Source: Empirical Research Partners. Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer CBO Congressional Budget Office OMB Office of Management and Budget EFSF European Financial Stability F
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Jan-12 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: BEA/Wards, DB, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Box indicates impact Source: DB, J.P. Morgan Pri
6.4 4 | 20% 29 10% 27 2.5 0% 2.3 -10% °” Lennar KBHome Toll Hovnanian DR Horton NVR Pultegroup 2001 2008 2008 200% e008 ann .. Source: BuildFax. Empirical Research Partners. Source: Corporate Reports. Empirical Research Partners. Has the data really been that good? I heard better US economic data has a lot to do with th
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ategy 3% Hard Assets, Hedge Funds, 4% 18% Source: J.P. Morgan Private Bank, as of July 2011. These portfolios may not be sui
nd 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 benefits as a percentage Total increase in pre-tax margins of revenue Source: Corporate reports, Empirical Research Partners. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Source: Standard & Poor's, Empirical Research Partners. Last week's train wreck of a labor rep
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030808 →Entities connected to both Empirical Research Partners and J.P. Morgan U.S. Private Bank

JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATIONJ.P. Morgan Securities LLC
ORGANIZATIONMichael Cembalest
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
Moody’s
ORGANIZATION
FactSet
ORGANIZATIONthe European Monetary Union
ORGANIZATION
Bureau of Labor Statistics
ORGANIZATION
Maastricht
LOCATION
Bundesbank
ORGANIZATION
Eleanor Roosevelt
PERSON
Eurozone
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Eurostat
ORGANIZATION
Economic Policy Institute
ORGANIZATION
Roosevelt Institute
ORGANIZATIONthe Monetary Union
ORGANIZATIONthe German Social Democratic Party
ORGANIZATION
the Institute of International Finance
ORGANIZATIONLiquidity Hospital
ORGANIZATION