Epstein Secrets

ions (1925) 1991) transtfar union 1998 20000 anne 2004 2006 2008 anid Source: Carl-Ludwig Holtirerich, Hallelnstitute for Economic Research, Source: Factset, MSCL Zentrum fur Europaische Politik (Freiburg), J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Bottom line. At atime when European equities are trading close to 2009

on. Attractive valuations for US large cap growth stocks Percent g% 7 70, 70 Nominal free cash yield Post-dividend free cash flow margin Source: Empirical Research Partners Q2 earnings season in the US is off to a good start. Nearly 30% of the S&P has reported, and results have generally been positive. Earnings are beat

tions (1929) 1991) transfer union 1998 2000 2002 9004 2006 2008 2010 Source: Carl-Ludwig Holtfrerich, Halle Institute for Economic Research, Source: Factset, MSC. Zentrum fur Europaische Politik (Freiburg), J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Bottom line. At a time when European equities are trading close to 2009

ctive valuations for US large cap growth stocks Post-dividend free cash flow margin ‘71 ‘74 ‘77 '80 '83 ‘86 '89 '92 '95 '98 ‘01 '04 ‘07 '10 Source: Empirical Research Partners. Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer CBO Congressional Budget Office OMB Office of Management and Budget EFSF European Financial Stability F

2005 2007 2000 2011 Lennar KBHome Toll Hovnanian OR Horton NVR Pultegroup Source: Corporate Reports. Empinaal Research Partners. Source: BuildFax, Empirical Research Partners Has the data really been that good? I heard better US economic data has a lot to do with the weather. Parts of the US experienced the warmest March

by quarter Index, 12/30/2011 = 100 101 4QE+1% 100 SQE -1% 99 FYI2-1% a8 2QE -2% of 1QE -3% O68 12/30/2011 OVSV2012 O2/2o/2012 OS282012 Source: FactSet The place that worries me the most: Spain. It ranks at or close to the bottom in a lot of categories (see table), and its growth outlook is poor. Hi

6.4 4 | 20% 29 10% 27 2.5 0% 2.3 -10% °” Lennar KBHome Toll Hovnanian DR Horton NVR Pultegroup 2001 2008 2008 200% e008 ann .. Source: BuildFax. Empirical Research Partners. Source: Corporate Reports. Empirical Research Partners. Has the data really been that good? I heard better US economic data has a lot to do with th

reland 96 Commercial RE exposure % of bank assets None 12/30/2011 01/31/2012 02/29/2012 03/28/2012 Encumbered banking system assets, % Greece Source: FactSet. World Bank labor rigidity, Europe None The place that worries me the most: Spain. It ranks at or |!ntra-European real effective exchange rate Italy