Epstein Secrets

OVERSIGHT_014575 --- PAGE BREAK --- Exhibit 41: European Commission Industrial Confidence Survey Eurozone business s

titative easing through December 2017. Meanwhile, the European Commission has endorsed a moderate fiscal easing of 0.5% of

isis highs. % 700 639 600 500 + 400 300 + 1951 1959 1967 1975 1983 1991 1999 2007 2015 Data through 03 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Datastream. The anemic (but steady) pace of this recovery has fueled a debate about its causes. The theories fall into six categories: e A “hangover” from the

asset class also received a boost last week when the European Commission submitted a proposal for AT1 coupons to be priori

tedtt yield 12/80 12/84 12/88 12/92 12/96 12/00 12/04 12/08 12/12 200 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, MSCI, Datastream Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Datastream European Yield Screen The rising rates backdrop has left yield not quite as scar

0 066 = G/99—s—«<OG/O2—sC«OG/OS.s«OG/OS=—OG/11 (06/14 06/96 8606/99) (OG/02—sCO6/NSsC«G/OSS(G/11 S(O /14 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, MSCI, IBES Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, MSC The other metric that illustrates the valuation overhang in Europe is the ri

ck-up in EU Consumer Confidence should boost Media 0.9 0 0.85 r 0.95 09 °8 -10 0.75 0.85 15 07 08 === Stoxx Media Price relative -20 0.65 0.75 ———European Commission Consumer _5¢ 0.6 Confidence Index 0.7 emmee Stoxx Media-relative to Tech 0.55 -30 0.65 a NS © RS ee ee et ee He Hote Hoe HESOE FPS GF WT SF CF CE

ieve it is likely to be ratified. US-EU Trade Friction: Tension between the US and European Union eased significantly after a July 2018 deal between European Commission President Juncker and President Trump to “work together toward zero tariffs, zero non-tariff barriers and zero subsidies on non-auto industrial goods

ients maintain their strategic allocation to US equities. HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026905 --- PAGE BREAK --- Sources: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg, Datastream, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Haver. Endnotes: (1) Kate Davidson and Sarah Chaney, “Fed Chair Powell Sees ‘Remarkably Positive Set of E

ieve it is likely to be ratified. US-EU Trade Friction: Tension between the US and European Union eased significantly after a July 2018 deal between European Commission President Juncker and President Trump to “work together toward zero tariffs, zero non-tariff barriers and zero subsidies on non-auto industrial goods

ation to US equities. HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026920 --- PAGE BREAK --- Sources: Investment Strategy Group, Bank for International Settlements, Bloomberg, Datastream, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Haver, International Monetary Fund, Teneo Intelligence. Endnotes: (1) Kate Davidson and Sarah Chaney, “F