Epstein Secrets

rmore, liability sovereigns explained that if the eurozone were to disband, Germany's role as the financial

Street, St Helier, Jersey, JE2 4WD. Regulated by the Jersey Financial Services Commission. The Netherlands by Invesco Asset Management S.A

terity has been more contractionary than many had expected. A huge gap in competitiveness between the core and the periphery is at the root of the Eurozone's problems. Ger- man labor costs rose by +18% in 2000-2009, significantly less than Italy's +35% and Spain's +50%. Our estimates suggest that Italy

ublication and of the research on investments and financial analysis herein contained. Jersey: UBS AG. Jersey Branch. is regulated and authorized by the Jersey Financial Services Commission for the conduct of banking, funds and investment business Luxem- bourg: This publication 6 not intended to constitute a public offer under Luxembourg

d a Cross-Border Investment Advisory Company with the Korean Financial Supervisory Commission, and as a licensed corporation for, amongst othe

k 26 Pace of Federal Reserve Tightening 27 Low Expectations of a US Recession 28 29 30 30 31 33 Rising Influence of Populist Parties in the Eurozone Geopolitical Hot Spots Get Hotter Terrorism Escalates Cyberattacks Continue China Submerges Under Its Debt Burden and Capital Outflows US-China Re

wth of 4.6%, aided by healthy domestic growth, and a particularly well-capitalized® banking sector that has a lower nonperforming loan ratio than the Eurozone bank average. Furthermore, Spain is unlikely to face the same political uncertainty as Germany, France and Italy in 2017. We expect high single-digit

important contributor to US GDP growth. Growth has also begun to pick up in key areas of the emerging markets, including China and Brazil. While the Eurozone economy remains weak, we expect Q3 2012 to mark the bottom, and that growth will begin to get "less bad" from Q4 2012. Equities Equity markets have

continue to tap the primary market if they ask for a support program? ¢ How much more support will Greece receive and will it be able to stay in the Eurozone next year? CIO View (Probability: 70%*) Austerity and weak growth ¢ We think the Eurozone economy troughed in 3Q. We expect flattish growth in 4Q 20

publication and of the research on investments and financial analysis herein contained. Jersey: UBS AG, Jersey Branch, is regulated and authorized by the Jersey Financial Services Commission for the conduct of banking, funds and investment business. Luxembourg: This publication is not intended to constitute a public offer under Luxembourg