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Investment Strategy
16 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014435 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 3: EM debt and equity have been hit Chart 4: While Banks versus Staples has gone ballistic 950 r 40 0.43 ——MSCI EM _ 900 SSW eG TRS EN LSI SEE ERG ; , ———S&P 500 Banks relative to Food & Bev 0.39 (RHS) 850 0.37 0.35 800 0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014436 →a (Pty) Ltd., regulated by The Financial Service Board; MLI (UK): Merrill Lynch International, regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Prudential Regulation Authority PRA); Merrill Lynch (Australia): Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited, regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission; Merri
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →relative price vs 52wk average (SD) Source: Re BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg place this text Chart 6: Rapid relative de-rating for Staples — relative PE for Food & Beverage still 6-10% above 2010 / 2014 levels 1.70 1.60 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 =———PE-relative FOOD & BEV 110 eee German
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014462 →a (Pty) Ltd., regulated by The Financial Service Board; MLI (UK): Merrill Lynch International, regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Prudential Regulation Authority PRA); Merrill Lynch (Australia): Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited, regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission; Merri
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →Quantitative Analysis
ctor Est. cash Overseas cash Effective tax Net % imported vs Sector overseas ($bn) = % mkt cap rate LTM exported COGS Discretionary 15 2.9% 28% -14% Staples 68 3.2% 29% -13% Energy 39 26% 21% -3% Health Care 187 10% 23% A% Industrials 127 6.0% 26% 1% Technology 647 14.9% 20% -9% Materials 24 40% 23% 3% Te
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023072 →a (Pty) Ltd., regulated by The Financial Service Board; MLI (UK): Merrill Lynch International, regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Prudential Regulation Authority PRA); Merrill Lynch (Australia): Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited, regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission; Merril
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →h d by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Prudential Regulation Authority | Lynch (Asia ch (Singapore): Merrill Lynch (Singapore)
SPX puts conditioned on higher rates Participate in the continuation of the reflation trade. Cheapen Financials upside by selling rich Utilities and Staples vol & expensive correl. Higher US rates and stronger dollar are likely to hurt companies exposed to EM and help US DM. Trade the outperformance in a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023597 →Entities connected to both the Prudential Regulation Authority and Staples

Frankfurt
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATIONBaFin
ORGANIZATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
the Financial Services Agency
ORGANIZATIONthe Capital Market Authority
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
Seoul
LOCATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATIONDSP Merrill Lynch Limited
ORGANIZATION
Malaysia
LOCATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATIONOtoritas Jasa Keuangan
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America, N.A.
ORGANIZATION