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Investment Strategy
ico} ico} SSR ERE EERE ES SSR eRe EER EES Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg 4 Global Cross Asset Strategy -
Merkel is returned at the head of a coalition government in Germany. Chart 19: German polls show a consistent lead for Merkel’s CDU party Chart 20: Fillon well ahead of Le Pen in polls showing a potential run-off 40 100 : 90 " Oy On%@ gate 20 tHe “008 as” “ehan 46 06 4 80 30 +4 4 a aa a a4 a4 4 70 2 1 a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →(SD) Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Chart 5: Financials valuations have recovered si
European politics. Will Europe follow the route to populism (revolt from the voters) or will we find relief for the markets by the end of 2017 from a Fillon/Merkel duo being in charge of the Euro area’s two largest economies. We think investors will demand a higher risk premium until the French Elections
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014461 →ce should stay in the European Union, and, should she win, questions about the viability of the Eurozone will surface immediately.°* While polls show Fillon well ahead of Le Pen, polls have been wrong on the UK and Italian referenda and the US election. The Eurasia Group, for one, assigns a 30% probabilit
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014561 →r Es a 4 oe Ses 2 Fea f = 2 22 3 sf SE a te ge < = 2 zs eer 8 = = 3 wn New Zealand Data as of December 31, 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg. Czech Republic South Africa 60 | Goldman Sachs | JANUARY 2017 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014593 --- PAGE BREAK --- incorporates this view, as we are neutra
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014594 →Entities connected to both Michael Bloomberg and Fillon

Donald Trump
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Atlanta
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATION
the Financial Services Agency
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Angela Merkel
PERSONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONOtoritas Jasa Keuangan
ORGANIZATION