Epstein Secrets

the same as the last couple of years. There may be further slowing of China, but India and Indonesia could see growth accelerate, Malaysia and the Philippines could maintain trend growth, and the rest of Asia could see less disappointment. Indeed, our forecast for the next two years assumes such a path. W

ted real bond yield, inverted (rhs) -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Datastream, Bloomberg Finance LP Figure 2: We expect 14% EPS growth in the Euro area in 2016, driven by a cyclical rebound in earnings Euro area EPS growth U

nia Russia Saudi Arabia South Africa Turkey Ukraine United Arab Emirates Asia (ex-Japan) China Hong Kong India Indonesia Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore Sri Lanka EFTA01476183 Taiwan Thailand Vietnam Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru Venezuela G7 Adva

3.48 12.50 * High inflation regime and controls prevent to have a valid market reference. Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Bloomberg Finance LP, Datastream; as of Dec 07 0.72 7.46 EFTA01476212 9.25 9.29 1.09 1.46 1.49 1.63 27.0 313.1 4.20 334.8 4.32 4.49 73.88 15.7 3.14 25.17 6.96

Saudi 12m Fwd PE 27 EM 12m Fwd PE 25 Average 23 eoccccce Average 2.1 1.9 nhs 1.5 1.3 14 09 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0 10 (12181 8H Source: DataStream, |/B/E/S, Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Source: DataStream, |/B/E/S, Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Research Interestingly, no

nstituent of @ CHINA mw KOREA = TAIWAN @ INDIA m SOUTH AFRICA @ BRAZIL SAUD: @ MEXICO m RUSSIA = MALAYSIA (EM) m= INDONESIA ~ THAILAND m@ PHILIPPINES TURKEY © CHILE = POLAND & QATAR m UAE @ COLOMBIA = PERU m GREECE m HUNGARY EGYPT m@ CZECH REPUBLIC Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Resear

isis highs. % 700 639 600 500 + 400 300 + 1951 1959 1967 1975 1983 1991 1999 2007 2015 Data through 03 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Datastream. The anemic (but steady) pace of this recovery has fueled a debate about its causes. The theories fall into six categories: e A “hangover” from the

ae} f= i} chile (1.2%) & I EM Russia (4.5%) Taiwan (12.2%) Korea (14.4%) Turkey (1.0%) Malaysia (2.5%) Thailand (2.3%} China (26.5%) Mexico (3.5%) Philippines (1.2%) Poland (1.1%) Indonesia (2.6%) India (8.3%) Brazil (7.7%) South Africa (7.1%) Data as of December 31, 2016. Note: Based on monthly data sin