tions "remain firmly anchored", at least not without announcing a new policy to better anchor those expectations. On balance, we think the data and Draghi's comment puts pressure on the ECB to accelerate the next phase of monetary easing. We believe the ECB will accelerate the announcement of a privat

Board members seems keen to take a steer on medium-term expectations from market breakeven rates. These have weakened in the last couple of weeks. Draghi referred to this in unprepared comments in his speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. He said B/Es point to "significant declines at all horizons-. The

ot affected the Euro much. First, the EUR weakened as the ECB statement kept the option to do more QE if necessary. Then, the EUR strengthened when Draghi avoided talking the EUR down when he was asked about its recent strength. However, the EUR continued strengthening during and after the press confe

ce the central bank to revise its inflation projections down by at least 25/30 bps. This, in our view, combined with the very cautious message from Draghi. strengthens our call for a very slow pace of tapering from Jan18 onward, in contrast with investors' expectations (discussed last week and in the

Board members seems keen to take a steer en medium -term expectations from market breakeven rates. These have weakened in the last couple of weeks. Draghi referred to this in unprepared comments in his speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. He said B/Es point to "significant declines at all horizons-. The

tions "remain firmly anchored", at least not without announcing a new policy to better anchor those expectations. On balance, we think the data and Draghi's comment puts pressure on the ECB to accelerate the next phase of monetary easing. We believe the ECB will accelerate the announcement of a privat

ses of private sector bonds, another LTRO, and/or clarifying senior/non-senior status of ECB bond purchases. It is interesting to note that despite Draghi's aggressive comments last week, a survey done by SocGen's FX team of their research client base finds that 69% of investors think the ECB will dis

, III +5 DXY $82.80 (-25c) Crude $89.34 (+43c) Gold $1608.60 (+$1.30) Silver -0.22% Copper -0.16% All about the ECB today (statement @ 7:30am, Draghi press conference @ 8.30am) (link<http://www.ecb.int/press/tvservices/webcast/html/webcast_120802.en.html>). Sueddeutsche thinks the ECB will announ

he is likely to emphasize the condition=lity of new easing, especially in light of improving data and Draghi=lowering the downside risk from Europe. Draghi was originally slated to =peak at Jackson Hole, but announced today that he will remain in Frankfurt=to hammer out the operational and technical det

mention th= scope for more accommodation, but he is likely to emphasize the condition=lity of new easing, especially in light of improving data and Draghi=lowering the downside risk from Europe. Draghi was originally slated to =peak at Jackson Hole, but announced today that he will remain in Frankfurt=

outlook) (trading +1.5%) Marvell Q2 revs & eps missed (gross margins fell) (citing global eco weakness) (trading -10%) Merkel says Germany backs Draghi on the conditions for ECB help (in Canada yesterday) GM seen planning global reorganization tackling "fiefdoms" according to Bloomberg EU Commissi

a, FL) August 31-Sep 1 - Fed's Annual Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, WY (Bernanke speaks Aug 31 @ 10am, Lagarde speaks Aug 31 @ 2:30pm, Draghi speaks Sep 1 @ 12:25pm) September 3-6 - Democrat National Convention (Charlotte, NC) September 6 - BOE/ECB rate announcements September 7 - Xstrat

ets open stronger on the highs and are choppy with early rallies sold currently +25bps/+150bps as the EU cuts Euro area GDP and inflation forecasts. Draghi spoke earlier and reiterated that weak global inflation is no reason for central bank inaction ("what matters most is that central banks act within t

urozone Flash PMI April, Earnings (APD, BA, DAL, DOW, DPS, GD, IR, NOC, PG, AAPL, FB) Thursday: Durable Goods, Kansas City Fed, Obama visits Japan, Draghi speaks @ 5am EST, Earnings (ABC, AET, BTU, DNKN, GM, HSY, LO, MMM, UPS, WM, CB, MSFT, V, SBUX) Friday: Markit US PMI, Michigan Confidence, Earnings

a, FL) August 31-Sep 1 - Fed's Annual Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, WY (Bernanke speaks Aug 31 @ 10am, Lagarde speaks Aug 31 @ 2:30pm, Draghi speaks Sep 1 @ 12:25pm) September 3-6 - Democrat National Convention (Charlotte, NC) September 6 - BOE/ECB rate announcements September 7 - Xstrat

ir Turner, head of the FSA. Then there are the economists: Ken Rogoff et all. One guy I would recommend who everyone listens to in Europe, including Draghi, is Paul de Gruawe.http://www.econ.kuleuven.ac.be/ew/academic/intecon/degrauwe/ From the IMF -- Olvier Blanchard, he oversees all their research and

itics if they lose the ballot. European markets up across the board on a mix of short covering and real buying ahead of month/quarter end on Friday. Draghi spoke in Paris earlier this morning and said that the ECB stands ready to act again if needed but acknowledged there are limits to what monetary po

oday and speakers include: David Cameron, Boris Johnson, George Osborne, Christine Lagarde, and Wolfgang Schauble. This is the same conference that Draghi delivered his "whatever it takes" speech last July. Jobless claims coming up at 8:30am in the US. SPA's -1 handle = 1627 last. ***Jobless Claims @

bama puts trade at heart of agenda FT • EU leaders seek seven-year budget deal FT • QE takes a toll on emerging economies FT • MPS bailout puts Draghi mission in focus FT • New aggression from the chancellor Lex • Great rotation: reasons not to believe Lex • The shadow of 1914 falls over the P

.60% DXY $82.54 (-28c) Crude $85.18 (+89c) Gold Australia GDP comes in much stronger at +1.3% versus estimate +0.6%. ECB announcement (7:45am) s Draghi press conference to follow (8:30am). Reports suggest that the ECB will want to keep pressure on politicians to take action and will be reluctant to

being held in Barcelona vs the usual Frankfurt). No changes are expected but, given the recent deterioration in economic data focus will be on the Draghi press conference and whether he leans toward an easing bias for June. Spain sold 02.52 billion in 3-5 year debt vs e2.5 billion max target (first a

> U.S. Chose Better Path to Recovery NYT recovery. html> Once Remote, DealBook public-face/> Goldman Sachs Puts on a Friendly Public Face NYT Draghi predicts 2012 eurozone 11e1-8faf-00144feab49a.html> recovery FTc Draghi urges eurozone to focus on growth FT< 9540-11e1-8faf-00144feab49a.htmltax

4feab49a.htmltaxzzlsSqly212> Germany: the miraculous machine FT<http://www.ft.com/cms/s/O/dff3976a-8a08-11e1- 87f0-00144feab49a.htmltaxzzlsSqly212> Draghi's remedy must not become a panacea FT<http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3fd26bb4- 8588-11e1-90cd-00144feab49a.htmltaxzzlsSqly212> Dilemma for centrist who c

$1452.50 (+$3.70) Copper +0.51% Silver -0.13% Asia was firmer across the board overnight following strong EU macro data and dovish comments from Draghi. Sentiment was helped after China export and import data for April came in better than expected with exports up 14.7% and imports up 16.8%. Austral

tend ZIRP into mid-2015 today and reiterate dovish stance of ready to act at any time if appropriate. ECB tomorrow the bigger event this week after Draghi's recent comments. Consensus seems to expect that (at a minimum) measures will be announced in which the EFSF will step in to buy sovereign debt fl

e and diverted to land in Vienna under suspicions Snowden may be on board (he wasn't). It's a 1/2 day in the US today (1pm close). ECB tomorrow and Draghi will likely deliver a dovish message and will prob be asked about Portugal etc. SPA's -9 handles = 1597.50 last. **TS equity markets close early to