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together, the dilemma of balancing the risk of domestic overheating versus excessive currency appreciation and subdued spot inflation is something Norway shares with a number of EM economies and also to a lesser extent with neighboring Sweden. However, Norway's dilemma is further reinforced by the l
atter cumulative fportfolio lows, bn Sfr -900 -700 -500 -300 -100 100 99 inflows outflows 250bn u/weight 02 05 Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP 08 11 Swiss Franc Is Last "Safe Haven" To Turn 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 0 90 93 96 99 02 05 08 11 Source: Deutsche Ban
Source: Deutsche Bank, UK Land Registry average price of detached house in prime London (Kensington and Chelsea) Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 9 Norway Netherlands France Austria EFTA01464497 Hungary Portugal Italy Ireland Spain Greece China Indonesia Thailand Brazil Taiwan Malaysia
87 1.22 1.25 1.25 1.25 - 1.22 1.22 1.22 7.48 7.30 7.20 7.10 - 7.51 7.54 7.61 8.45 8.20 8.10 8.00 - 8.47 8.49 8.54 Source: Datastream, Reuters, Bloomberg Finance LP, DB forecasts Hungary Indonesia IDR/USD 9,686 9,950 9,900 9,850 (Fwd. Rates) Malaysia MYR/USD 3.10 3.07 3.05 3.02 (Fwd. Rates) 3.12 3.13 3.16
A NA Royal Dutch Shell PMO LN Premier Oil Plc OMV AV OMV Ag TLW LN Tullow Oil Plc Long Name EFTA01470803 Lundin Petroleum AB Country Sweden Norway Norway France Netherlands France Britain Netherlands Britain Austria Britain Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy
alling oil prices will see basket underperform Implementation: Buy European Oil Sensitivity Basket via Delta One note or Total Return Swap Source: Bloomberg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Research European Oil Sensitivity Basket Outperforms market when Brent rises (1) For additional detail on basket holdings please se
f the following 16 developed market country indices: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. The MSCI Japan Index (net of withholding taxes) is a market capitalization- weighted
rch 25, 2016. Source: FactSet, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management. Deutsche Bank Wealth Management Footnotes: Data is as of March 18, 2016. Source: Bloomberg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management. 20 Jan-15 Jan-16 EFTA01477978 bbls/day. However, supply is still too high and will According to the Departme
f the following 16 developed market country indices: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. The MSCI Japan Index (net of withholding taxes) is a market capitalization- weighted
rch 25, 2016. Source: FactSet, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management. Deutsche Bank Wealth Management Footnotes: Data is as of March 18, 2016. Source: Bloomberg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management. 20 Jan-15 Jan-16 EFTA01478048 bbls/day. However, supply is still too high and will According to the Departme
ic activity & inflation forecasts: 2015F 2016F 2017F GDP (% yoy) EU Euro area Germany France EFTA01476013 Italy Spain UK Sweden Denmark Norway Switzerland 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.7 3.2 2.4 3.2 1.6 1.4 1.0 1.9 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.4 2.8 2.5 2.7 1.7 1.4 1.2 Source: National authorit
Rising means easier, falling means tighter # of standard deviations 20140101 20140618 20141203 20150520 20151104 Source: Deutsche Bank Research , Bloomberg Finance LP, Haver Analytics LP Figure 7: Bottom-up fiscal stance estimates underestimating extent of fiscal easing in 2016 1.5 0.5 1 -0.5 0 -1.5 -1
ies US Japan Euro area Germany France Italy Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Finland Greece Portugal Ireland United Kingdom Denmark Norway Sweden Switzerland Canada Australia New Zealand EEMEA Czech Republic Egypt Hungary Israel Kazakhstan Nigeria Poland Romania Russia Sa
rilsk, Alcoa, Glencore, Southern Copper, Anglo American and Vale Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Company reports, Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Bloomberg Finance LP 2017E Glencore 1Y CDS spread Grant Sporre, (44) 20 754 58170 Michael Hsueh, (44) 20 754 78015 EFTA01476156 Page 66 Deutsche Bank AG/London D
/USD (Fwd. Rates) SwitzerlandUSD/CHF (Fwd. Rates) Euro Cross Rates Japan EUR/JPY U.K. (Fwd. Rates) EUR/GBP (Fwd. Rates) SwitzerlandEUR/CHF Norway Sweden (Fwd. Rates) EUR/NOK (Fwd. Rates) EUR/SEK (Fwd. Rates) EFTA01464310 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.77 - 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.93 0.99 1.04 1.06 - 0.9
87 1.23 1.25 1.25 1.24 - 1.23 1.23 1.23 7.86 7.35 7.25 7.15 - 7.88 7.91 7.97 8.58 8.25 8.05 8.00 - 8.60 8.62 8.66 Source: Datastream, Reuters, Bloomberg Finance LP, DB forecasts Emerging Europe Currency Czech Rep. EUR/CZK (Fwd. Rates) USD/CZK (Fwd. Rates) Hungary EUR/HUF Latin America Currency Argentin
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