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divided into structural surplus and deficit economies. While Anglo-Saxon countries have tended to run current account deficits. Japan. Switzerland, Norway. and Sweden have generated consistent surpluses for decades. As a result of these highly persistent global imbalances, the two camps have accumulat
er Research Marcel Cassard Global Head FICC Research & Global Macro Economics Richard Smith and Steve Pollard Co-Global Heads Equity Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Mia Pacific Research International Locations Ralf Hoffmann Regional Head Deutsche Bank Research. Germany Andreas Neubauer Regio
nk of three reasons to go short CHF/NOK. 1. The relative cycle is supportive of rate differentials. Inflation is at a much higher starting point in Norway than in Switzerland, leaving the Norges Bank much less room to manoeuvre than the SNB in the event of upside surprises to import prices or stronge
er Research Marcel Cassard Global Head FICC Research & Global Macro Economics Richard Smith and Steve Pollard Co-Global Heads Equity Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International Locations Ralf Hoffmann Regional Head Deutsche Bank Research, Germany Andreas Neubauer Regi
ic activity & inflation forecasts: 2015F 2016F 2017F GDP (% yoy) EU Euro area Germany France EFTA01476013 Italy Spain UK Sweden Denmark Norway Switzerland 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.7 3.2 2.4 3.2 1.6 1.4 1.0 1.9 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.4 2.8 2.5 2.7 1.7 1.4 1.2 Source: National authorit
to US growth — relative to the start of the year — since the financial crisis. Peter Hooper, (1) 212 250 7352 Matthew Luzzetti, (44) 20 754 73288 Michael Spencer, (852) 2203 8303 EFTA01475995 Mark Wall, (44) 20 754 52087 Torsten Slok, (1) 212 250 2155 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 17 EFTA01475996 8 Dec
ies US Japan Euro area Germany France Italy Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Finland Greece Portugal Ireland United Kingdom Denmark Norway Sweden Switzerland Canada Australia New Zealand EEMEA Czech Republic Egypt Hungary Israel Kazakhstan Nigeria Poland Romania Russia Sa
G/London Page 77 EFTA01476241 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Contacts Name Coverage David Folkerts-Landau Michael Spencer Economics Peter Hooper Torsten Slok Joe LaVorgna Mark Wall Stefan Schneider Mikihiro Matsuoka Michael Spencer Taimur Baig Gustavo Canonero
Entities connected to both Norway and Michael Spencer

Denmark
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Finland
LOCATION
Belgium
LOCATION
United States
LOCATION
Hungary
LOCATION
New Zealand
LOCATION
Romania
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Czech Republic
LOCATION
Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATION
Tokyo
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Sydney
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Wilbur Ross
PERSON
Alan Dershowitz
PERSON
Chile
LOCATIONAndreas Neubauer
PERSON