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divided into structural surplus and deficit economies. While Anglo-Saxon countries have tended to run current account deficits. Japan. Switzerland, Norway. and Sweden have generated consistent surpluses for decades. As a result of these highly persistent global imbalances, the two camps have accumulat
ptions) also bear the risks typical to options in addition to the risks related to rates movements. Page 12 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA00602244 David Folkerts-Landau Group Chief Economist Member of the Group Executive Committee Raj Hindocha Global Chief Operating Officer Research Marcel Cassard Global Head
nk of three reasons to go short CHF/NOK. 1. The relative cycle is supportive of rate differentials. Inflation is at a much higher starting point in Norway than in Switzerland, leaving the Norges Bank much less room to manoeuvre than the SNB in the event of upside surprises to import prices or stronge
tions) also bear the risks typical to options in addition to the risks related to rates movements. Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 25 EFTA00610300 David Folkerts-Landau Group Chief Economist Member of the Group Executive Committee Guy Ashton Global Chief Operating Officer Research Marcel Cassard Global Head F
together, the dilemma of balancing the risk of domestic overheating versus excessive currency appreciation and subdued spot inflation is something Norway shares with a number of EM economies and also to a lesser extent with neighboring Sweden. However, Norway's dilemma is further reinforced by the l
r the risks typical to options in addition to the risks related to rates movements. EFTA01464473 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 23 EFTA01464474 David Folkerts-Landau Global Head of Research Marcel Cassard Global Head CB&S Research Asia-Pacific Fergus Lynch Regional Head International Locations Deutsche Ba
Source: Deutsche Bank, UK Land Registry average price of detached house in prime London (Kensington and Chelsea) Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 9 Norway Netherlands France Austria EFTA01464497 Hungary Portugal Italy Ireland Spain Greece China Indonesia Thailand Brazil Taiwan Malaysia
tions) also bear the risks typical to options in addition to the risks related to rates movements. Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 45 EFTA01464565 David Folkerts-Landau Managing Director Global Head of Research Marcel Cassard Global Head CB&S Research Asia-Pacific Fergus Lynch Regional Head Principal Locatio
ic activity & inflation forecasts: 2015F 2016F 2017F GDP (% yoy) EU Euro area Germany France EFTA01476013 Italy Spain UK Sweden Denmark Norway Switzerland 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.7 3.2 2.4 3.2 1.6 1.4 1.0 1.9 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.4 2.8 2.5 2.7 1.7 1.4 1.2 Source: National authorit
Deutsche Bank Research Global Cross-Discipline Date 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016 Managing with less liquidity David Folkerts-Landau 'tors Peter Hooper Chief Economist Matthew Luzzetti Chief Economist Mark Wall Chief Economist Torsten Slok hi f E n mi t Deutsche Bank AG/L
ies US Japan Euro area Germany France Italy Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Finland Greece Portugal Ireland United Kingdom Denmark Norway Sweden Switzerland Canada Australia New Zealand EEMEA Czech Republic Egypt Hungary Israel Kazakhstan Nigeria Poland Romania Russia Sa
0 5.5 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 77 EFTA01476241 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Contacts Name Coverage David Folkerts-Landau Michael Spencer Economics Peter Hooper Torsten Slok Joe LaVorgna Mark Wall Stefan Schneider Mikihiro Matsuoka Michael Spencer Taimur Baig
Entities connected to both Norway and David Folkerts-Landau

Denmark
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United Kingdom
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Finland
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Belgium
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United States
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Hungary
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New Zealand
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Frankfurt
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Romania
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Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATION
Tokyo
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Malaysia
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Sydney
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Philippines
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Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Alan Dershowitz
PERSON
Wilbur Ross
PERSONSteve Pollard
PERSONAndreas Neubauer
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Chile
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