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Source: Deutsche Bank, UK Land Registry average price of detached house in prime London (Kensington and Chelsea) Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 9 Norway Netherlands France Austria EFTA01464497 Hungary Portugal Italy Ireland Spain Greece China Indonesia Thailand Brazil Taiwan Malaysia
igure 1: The basic balance has turned positive... Figure 2: ...as current account surplus outweigh the net FDI outflows Source: DB FX Research and Eurostat Source: DB FX Research and Eurostat Figure 3: EUR/USD strongly correlated (0.88) with bilateral basic balance with the US Figure 4: Bilateral bas
ic activity & inflation forecasts: 2015F 2016F 2017F GDP (% yoy) EU Euro area Germany France EFTA01476013 Italy Spain UK Sweden Denmark Norway Switzerland 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.7 3.2 2.4 3.2 1.6 1.4 1.0 1.9 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.4 2.8 2.5 2.7 1.7 1.4 1.2 Source: National authorit
3.0 3.5 4.0 2012 2013 PCE deflator Compensation per employee Employment Real total compensation 2014 2015 Source: Deutsche Bank Research , Eurostat 2016 2017 Figure 3: Investment spending recovery has flattened EA non-construction investment spending (lhs) German mfg orders from EA ex heavy
/USD (Fwd. Rates) SwitzerlandUSD/CHF (Fwd. Rates) Euro Cross Rates Japan EUR/JPY U.K. (Fwd. Rates) EUR/GBP (Fwd. Rates) SwitzerlandEUR/CHF Norway Sweden (Fwd. Rates) EUR/NOK (Fwd. Rates) EUR/SEK (Fwd. Rates) EFTA01464310 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.77 - 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.93 0.99 1.04 1.06 - 0.9
gure 35: The basic balance remains in an uptrend... Figure 36: ...as current account surplus outweighs the FDI outflows Source: DB FX Research and Eurostat Source: DB FX Research and Eurostat Page 30 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc EFTA01464361 30 July 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives: FX and the Fina
nd Germany 10 France Germany 10 Sweden Switzerland 11 Austria Estonia 1 Czech Republic UK 12 Denmark Iceland 12 France Slovenia 13 Iceland Denmark 13 Norway Poland 14 Sweden Slovenia 14 USA ireland 15 Ireland Norway 45 Hungary Belgium 16 Norway . France 16 Iceland Hungary 17 Czech Republic Slovakia | 18 U
ll public sector employees e Reduce state payroll via attrition e 50% bonus tax on top bank executives e Privatize state-owned industries Source: Eurostat, European Commission, IMF, New York Times, Financial Times, BBC, Wall Street Journal. USA Inc. | Consequences of Inaction 426 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_02105
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