Epstein Secrets

was also Israeli. They were investigating the effect of human bias and other subjective factors on how we perceive reality, and thus make decisions. Tversky’s work especially fascinated me, because it questioned a basic assumption in the kind of predictive formulas my own department was advancing: that we

sands of tanks. Hundreds of fighter jets. Other, much larger nations had endured months, even years, of hell before prevailing in such circumstances: the Soviet Union, for instance, with its huge strategic depth, or France, rescued by its American-led allies, during World War Two. But any pride in having prevailed

was also Israeli. They were investigating the effect of human bias and other subjective factors on how we perceive reality, and thus make decisions. Tversky's work especially fascinated me, because it questioned a basic assumption in the kind of predictive formulas my own department was advancing: that we

sands of tanks. Hundreds of fighter jets. Other, much larger nations had endured months, even years, of hell before prevailing in such circumstances: the Soviet Union, for instance, with its huge strategic depth, or France, rescued by its American-led allies, during World War Two. But any pride in having prevailed

sychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky—has documented the ways in which people deviate from the prescriptions of rational models. Kahneman and Tversky proposed that in many situations people instead follow simple heuristics that allow them to reach good solutions at low cognitive cost but sometimes

he development of computers and neuro-mechanical systems was tempered by his pessimism about their exploitation by authoritarian governments, such as the Soviet Union, and the tendency for democracies, such as the United States, to become more authoritarian themselves in confronting the threat of authoritarianism.

sychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky—has documented the ways in which people deviate from the prescriptions of rational models. Kahneman and Tversky proposed that in many situations people instead follow simple heuristics that allow them to reach good solutions at low cognitive cost but sometimes

he development of computers and neuro-mechanical systems was tempered by his pessimism about their exploitation by authoritarian governments, such as the Soviet Union, and the tendency for democracies, such as the United States, to become more authoritarian themselves in confronting the threat of authoritarianism.