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led dictatorship that was held together by an iron fist under Baathist ideology. And, for me, the lesson of Iraq is quite simple: You can't go from Saddam to Switzerland without getting stuck in Hobbes — a war of all against all — unless you have a well- armed external midwife, whom everyone on the gro
edded in President George W. Bush's administration were determined to reshape the region in Israel's and America's interest. Their first target was Saddam Hussein's Iraq, seen as a potential threat to Israel. Had the United States been successful in Iraq, Syria would have been next. Neither Iraq nor the United
America's interest. Their first target was Saddam Hussein's Iraq, seen as a potential threat to Israel. Ha
ns that abut it suggest a process of ethnic cleansing to prepare the way. An Alawite coastal ministate that folds in the port cities of Latakia and Tartus, home to the Russian navy's key warmwater port, may not be viable in the long run, but that doesn't mean the regime's core won't try for one. Even
largely intact. The chaos and horrific violence in Iraq resulted in large part from the U.S. determination to destroy those institutions along with Saddam Hussein. As a cautionary tale, Kissinger and others point not only to Iraq but also to Libya. Kissinger lumped Libya in with Yemen, Somalia and northern M
ination to destroy those institutions along with Saddam Hussein. As a cautionary tale, Kissinger and oth
to destroy those institutions along with Saddam Hussein. As a cautionary tale, Kissinger and others poin
o allow intervention in Syria? Assad would still be one of Moscow's principal allies in the Middle East. Russia would still have port facilities at Tartus. It would still want to protect the principle that a government can suppress popular demonstrations by any means it chooses, including the kinds of
ons of dollars to strengthen Iraqi opposition to Saddam Hussein. Today, militant Islamist organizations s
dollars to strengthen Iraqi opposition to Saddam Hussein. Today, militant Islamist organizations such as
military action against Assad to remove him from power. These were the same two voices that lobbied the Clinton and Bush administrations to topple Saddam Hussein's regime. When the United States did exactly as these senators advocated, countless unintended negative consequences ensued. Such outcomes could be e
f the Assad regime would almost inevitably decrease Russian power in the Middle East and the Mediterranean. Syria has hosted Russia's naval base in Tartus for several decades and, since 1971, Syria has been Moscow's closest Arab ally. Syria is the largest Arab purchaser of Russian weapons and is seen
qi exiles who told President George W. Bush that divisions among country's Sunni, Shiite and Kurdish communities could be easily overcome in a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq either underestimated or deliberately downplayed the salience of these ethno-sectarian identities. Moreover, reassuring statements made to Wes
h communities could be easily overcome in a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq either underestimated or deliberate
nities could be easily overcome in a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq either underestimated or deliberately downp
tal areas around the city of Lattakia -- where, incidentally, the last remaining Russian military base outside the former Soviet Union, the port of Tartus, happens to be located - - are their strongholds. Indeed, during the French Mandate period, there was a separate Alawite state based on these territ
R1_02031603 EFTA02690712 Article 7. TIME Why the Muslim Brotherhood Are Egypt's Best Democrats Bobby Ghosh June 21, 2011 -- After the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, many Western commentators were surprised by the ease with which Iraq's religious movements adapted to multiparty democracy. The Shi'ite g
Bobby Ghosh June 21, 2011 -- After the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, many Western commentators were
Ghosh June 21, 2011 -- After the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, many Western commentators were surprise
ossible, for the opposition to topple him. At the UN and elsewhere, Syria enjoys the protection of Russia -- perhaps concerned for its naval base at Tartus. The Russian view is that the Syrian crisis poses no threat to international peace and EFTA_R1_02031589 EFTA02690698 15 security. China, India,
i exiles who told President George W. Bush that divisions among country's Sunni, Shiite and Kurdish communities could be easily overcome in a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq either underestimated or deliberately downplayed the salience of these ethno-sectarian identities. Moreover, reassuring statements made to We
h communities could be easily overcome in a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq either underestimated or deliberate
nities could be easily overcome in a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq either underestimated or deliberately downp
al areas around the city of Lattakia -- where, incidentally, the last remaining Russian military base outside the former Soviet Union, the port of Tartus, happens to be located -- are their strongholds. Indeed, during the French Mandate period, there was a separate Alawite state based on these territ
spike. The theocracy's new legitimacy. Please send me a list of all the regimes of the past 60 years that have survived such military humiliation. Saddam Hussein's survival of Gulf War I is the only case I can think of—and we got him the second time around. The responsible nuclear Iran. Wait. We're supposed to
rs that have survived such military humiliation. Saddam Hussein's survival of Gulf War I is the only case
have survived such military humiliation. Saddam Hussein's survival of Gulf War I is the only case I can
he United States lacks after letting the Mubarak regime go down quickly. The real question is whether Russia will keep the Soviet-era naval base in Tartus on Syria's Mediterranean coast. While the disagreement on Libya led to Russia's abstention in the Security Council and was soon forgotten, the spa
ountry. Nearby Mali has erupted into anarchy -- a situation ignited by regime change in Libya. The administration of George W. Bush decapitated the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq, an act that cost perhaps 200,000 Iraqi lives over a few short years, even as Saddam had directly killed perhaps four times that man
ation of George W. Bush decapitated the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq, an act that cost perhaps 200,000 Iraqi lives over a few short years, even as Saddam had directly killed perhaps four times that many over the previous third of a century. Then there are the examples of the Soviet Union and Yugoslav
tration of George W. Bush decapitated the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq, an act that cost perhaps 200,000
ent in 2009 by killing hundreds, not thousands.) The Russians require stability in Damascus only partly for the sake of naval rights in the port of Tartus. Syria and Iran are the two remaining levers the Kremlin has in the Middle East. Moreover, the collapse of a pro-Moscow dictatorship in the Middle
icana. Despite Putin's well-known opposition to the Iraq War, he is also cultivating a strong military and energy-based relationship with the post- Saddam government in Baghdad. Gazprom and Rosneft have moved in to capitalize on Iraq's increased oil and gas outputs. Last summer, contracts were signed
ng Russian naval ships, likely as an improved backup in the event that the Syrian regime does collapse and Moscow loses its only warm-water port at Tartus. "Tartus is vulnerable and not good enough and the Egyptian ports are perfect for the Russian navy," an unnamed Israeli defense official told the S
onist Iran. One part of that barrier had already crumbled in 2003 when the U.S. HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023462 --- PAGE BREAK --- invasion of Iraq toppled Saddam Hussein. Losing Mr. Mubarak means that the Saudis now see themselves as the last Sunni giant left in the region. The Saudis were further agitated when the p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023463 →462 --- PAGE BREAK --- invasion of Iraq toppled Saddam Hussein. Losing Mr. Mubarak means that the Saudis
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023463 →- PAGE BREAK --- invasion of Iraq toppled Saddam Hussein. Losing Mr. Mubarak means that the Saudis now see
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023463 →rs shot have been identified as Muhammad Awadh Qanbar and Murad Hajoo, who died in Maddiyah. A third soldier was shot in the port city of Banias. In Tartus, Der'aah and the Kurdish city of Qamishli, Alawite elite units have replaced the regular army with orders to crush the demonstrations. Some special
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023470 →Entities connected to both Saddam Hussein and Tartus

Barack Obama
PERSON
George W. Bush
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Bashar al-Assad
PERSON
Bill Clinton
PERSON
Lebanon
LOCATION
Tehran
LOCATION
Benjamin Netanyahu
PERSON
Middle East
LOCATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
Damascus
LOCATION
Hosni Mubarak
PERSON
Jerusalem
LOCATION
Terje Rod-Larsen
PERSON
Vladimir Putin
PERSON
Tunisia
LOCATION
Yemen
LOCATION
Hillary Clinton
PERSON
Cairo
LOCATION
Department of Justice
ORGANIZATION