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Microsoft Word - 07-25-11 - EOTM - White Castle.docx
60% ceiling AX 50% =e Debt limit to 3x 40% gov. receipts 30% —> 2x 20% 1x 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 Source: OMB, BEA, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, the Reid-McConnell plan and the Obama-Boehner plan have all been raised up the flagpole and then lowe
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025221 →pact 31 million filers in 2012 (and raise $132 billion in revenue), compared to 4 million filers in 2011 (and $39 billion in revenue). * For example: the Gang of Six state that they used the President’s budget as a baseline (scored by CBO in March 201 1), reduced deficits by $3.7 trillion, and ended up with a 71%
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025221 →pts 30% —> 2x 20% 1x 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 Source: OMB, BEA, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, the Reid-McConnell plan and the Obama-Boehner plan have all been raised up the flagpole and then lowered. By the end of the process, we’re stil
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025221 →explain how they get to the President’s baseline in the first place. 1 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025221 --- PAGE BREAK --- Eye on the Market | July 25, 2011 J.P Morgan Topics: US debt ceiling negotiations, a more ambitious European bailout plan (finally), and how large cap growth stocks and rising corporate profits
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025222 →Industrial production Index, 100 = January 2007 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 15 2007 2009 2010 2011 Source: INE, CSO, ISTAT, NSS, Eurostat, Bundesbank, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Periphery = Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain. 2008 * The current EFSF lending capacity is Eur 255 b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
raising the debt ceiling YS , , + . + . 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 Debt limit to gov. receipts nd Source: OMB, BEA, J.P. Morgan Private Bank Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, the Reid-McConnell plan and the Obama-Boehner plan have all been raised up the flagpole and then lower
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025215 →e caveat that many plans are not crystal clear what baseline they are using, or what steps they recommend to get to that baseline first. For example: the Gang of Six state that they used the President’s budget as a baseline (scored by CBO in March 2011), reduced deficits by $3.7 trillion, and ended up with a 71% d
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025215 →1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 Debt limit to gov. receipts nd Source: OMB, BEA, J.P. Morgan Private Bank Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, the Reid-McConnell plan and the Obama-Boehner plan have all been raised up the flagpole and then lowered. By the end of the process, we’re stil
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025215 →antee of future results. References to the performance or character of our portfolios generally refer to our Balanced Model Portfolios constructed by J.P. Morgan. It is a proxy for client performance and may not represent actual transactions or investments in client accounts. The model portfolio can be
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025220 →Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
e caveat that many plans are not crystal clear what baseline they are using, or what steps they recommend to get to that baseline first. For example: the Gang of Six state that they used the President's budget as a baseline (scored by CBO in March 2011), reduced deficits by $3.7 trillion, and ended up with a 71% d
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031159 →islation is a rocky but healthy way for a democracy to decide whether mega-deficits are in the long-term public interest. Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, the Reid-McConnell plan and the Obama-Boehner plan have all been raised up the flagpole and then lowered. By the end of the process, we're stil
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031159 →antee of future results. References to the performance or character of our portfolios generally refer to our Balanced Model Portfolios constructed by J.P. Morgan. It is a proxy for client performance and may not represent actual transactions or investments in client accounts. The model portfolio can be
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031164 →Entities connected to both JPMorgan Chase and the Gang of Six
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
ORGANIZATIONMichael Cembalest
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
Harry Reid
PERSON
Ronald Reagan
PERSON
Mitch McConnell
PERSON
Eleanor Roosevelt
PERSONthe European Monetary Union
ORGANIZATION
Bundesbank
ORGANIZATION
European Union
ORGANIZATIONthe European Central Bank
ORGANIZATION
Belgium
LOCATION
the Institute of International Finance
ORGANIZATION
Empirical Research Partners
ORGANIZATION
Moody’s
ORGANIZATIONJ.P. Morgan U.S. Private Bank
ORGANIZATION
Eurostat
ORGANIZATION
Maastricht
LOCATION
FactSet
ORGANIZATION
Office of Management and Budget
ORGANIZATION