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earnings data for production and nonsupervisory employees, ~80% of the private sector, is available back to 1964. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Haver. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Haver. Of course, the recent backup in interest rates is providing equity investors with another source of angs
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026897 →achs do Brasil Banco Multiplo S.A. as to the opportunities available to our private wealth management clients. In connection with its distribution in the United Kingdom, this material has been issued and approved by Goldman Sachs International which is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026906 →es. HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026905 --- PAGE BREAK --- Sources: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg, Datastream, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Haver. Endnotes: (1) Kate Davidson and Sarah Chaney, “Fed Chair Powell Sees ‘Remarkably Positive Set of Economic Circumstances,” The Wall Street Journal,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026906 →the NYSE, the NASD, NFA and SIPC. In Germany this report is approved and/or communicated by Deutsche Bank AG Frankfurt authorized by the BaFin. In the United Kingdom this report is approved and/or communicated by Deutsche Bank AG London, a member of the London Stock Exchange and regulated by the Financial Servic
ted with private inflows since the late 1990s Figure 6: Relative to the private basic balance, the dollar is expensive Source: DB FX Research and Haver Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Page 18 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA01464513 28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives Figure 7: Net
Investment Strategy
Jan-15 memes Industrial production - inventory (3m mva yoy%) —— SCI Japan cyclical/defensive Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Haver Cyclical = Industrials, consumer discretionary, IT, materials Defensive = Healthcare, telecom, consumer staples, utilities Calculated cyclical and
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014405 →sives June '12 Fundamentals June '14 Production June '13 Contraction Recovery Cyclicals Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Haver 23 09 07 05 e SF SF SF 9 eee TSE Bank/ TSE REIT Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Exhibit 4: Reactions to US Treasury curve
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014406 →dom of Saudi Arabia Company, regulated by the Capital Market Authority. This research report: has been approved for publication and is distributed in the United Kingdom (UK) to professional clients and eligible counterparties (as each is defined in the rules of the FCA and the PRA) by MLI (UK) and Bank of America Mer
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014408 →uwait SaudiArabia Dubai RRS RRRKRKRKCKKRRKRKKAA Source: Haver, IMF, Saudi Ministry of Finance, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. 2015 data, Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Implied rate of return on SAMA reserve assets Investment income and transfer of profits of public entities for K
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016117 →Cc fo?) f=] —_ N oO t+ wo . . 7 : : oS SoS o oo So So oS So Oo x x x x —- x Qatar Abu Dhabi Kuwait SaudiArabia Dubai RRS RRRKRKRKCKKRRKRKKAA Source: Haver, IMF, Saudi Ministry of Finance, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. 2015 data, Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Implied rate of re
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016117 →Ms Paper #26 | 30 June 2016 83 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016193 --- PAGE BREAK --- This information: has been approved for publication and is distributed in the United Kingdom (UK) to professional clients and eligible counterparties (as each is defined in the rules of the FCA and the PRA) by MLI (UK) and Bank of America Mer
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016194 →Investment Strategy
1000 60 900 40 800 =— Percentage of Countries with J. ——MSCI EM, RS 20 700 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15 1/16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Haver, Bloomberg Chart 29: EM cyclicals outperform as China’s NOMINAL GDP recovers. More to go. eee SCI EM cyclicals/EM defensives price index, LS 180 =
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014447 →dom of Saudi Arabia Company, regulated by the Capital Market Authority. This research report: has been approved for publication and is distributed in the United Kingdom (UK) to professional clients and eligible counterparties (as each is defined in the rules of the FCA and the PRA) by MLI (UK) and Bank of America Mer
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →S2SSZFSSSRSPESPSLZESS 5 8 gpg = 8 & & & Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Haver, EPFR Bankof America “2 Global Rates, FX & EM 2017 Year Ahead | 16 November 2016 27 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014757 --- PAGE BREAK --- Best V
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014758 →o not apply in ime, hold a trading position (long or short) in the securities and financial instruments discussed in this report. ocated outside of the United Kingdom. BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research policies relating to conflicts of interest are described at http://go.bofa.com/coi. LPF&S or one of its affiliate
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014786 →1% | 0% t t t t t t t t t t t t t t 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Source: Investment Strategy Group, Haver. Of course, the recent backup in interest rates is providing equity investors with another source of angst. Yet our work suggests there are several
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026912 →achs do Brasil Banco Multiplo S.A. as to the opportunities available to our private wealth management clients. In connection with its distribution in the United Kingdom, this material has been issued and approved by Goldman Sachs International which is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026921 →Entities connected to both United Kingdom and Haver

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