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10 Global Cross Asset Strategy - Year Ahead | 30 November 2016 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 15: Eurozone PMI's point to solid growth Chart 16: Japanese growth expected to accelerate in 2017 60.0 3.0 58.0 —_.,. = 2.0 Forecasts 56.0 54.0 1.0 52.0 50.0 0.0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014442 →d long RUB/ZAR. The former has dropped as the EUR has weakened against the USD. We continue to think that the Swedish economy is more robust than the Eurozone and that the Riksbank will sooner or later have to adjust monetary policy accordingly. We see a lot more room for this pair to move in 2017, particul
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014445 →A de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comision Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch Inte
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →, PMI’s and consumer confidence pointing to a solid Q4 to follow. That quarter is currently tracking at 3.6% according to the Atlanta Fed. Chart 13: Eurozone PMI’s have picked up of late... Chart 14: US Consumer Confidence now at post-GFC highs 60.0 120 100 59.0 80 50.0 60 40 45.0 ———US Consumer Confidence
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →n for investors as we enter a busy year for European politics (see table opposite} is whether the populism train will gather pace or terminate at the Eurozone. Italy risks elevated, but risks two way and banks the bigger issue Although Italy goes to the polls this year, it is worthwhile starting with this
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014475 →A de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch Inte
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ad | 16 November 2016 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014735 --- PAGE BREAK --- target. It is possible that Trump’s election could weaken fiscal discipline in the Eurozone over the medium term, but we are more concerned by the non-trivial risk that the ECB may disappoint in the December meeting by either not extending q
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014736 →A de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch Int
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014785 →Entities connected to both Comisién Nacional de Valores and Eurozone

United Kingdom
LOCATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
United States
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONOtoritas Jasa Keuangan
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Ireland
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION