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10 Global Cross Asset Strategy - Year Ahead | 30 November 2016 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 15: Eurozone PMI's point to solid growth Chart 16: Japanese growth expected to accelerate in 2017 60.0 3.0 58.0 —_.,. = 2.0 Forecasts 56.0 54.0 1.0 52.0 50.0 0.0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014442 →d long RUB/ZAR. The former has dropped as the EUR has weakened against the USD. We continue to think that the Swedish economy is more robust than the Eurozone and that the Riksbank will sooner or later have to adjust monetary policy accordingly. We see a lot more room for this pair to move in 2017, particul
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014445 →ame: legal name, regulator): Merrill Lynch (South Africa}: Merrill Lynch South Africa (Pty) Ltd., regulated by The Financial Service Board; MLI (UK): Merrill Lynch International, regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Prudential Regulation Authority PRA); Merrill Lynch (Australia): Merrill Lynch Equities (
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →, PMI’s and consumer confidence pointing to a solid Q4 to follow. That quarter is currently tracking at 3.6% according to the Atlanta Fed. Chart 13: Eurozone PMI’s have picked up of late... Chart 14: US Consumer Confidence now at post-GFC highs 60.0 120 100 59.0 80 50.0 60 40 45.0 ———US Consumer Confidence
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →n for investors as we enter a busy year for European politics (see table opposite} is whether the populism train will gather pace or terminate at the Eurozone. Italy risks elevated, but risks two way and banks the bigger issue Although Italy goes to the polls this year, it is worthwhile starting with this
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014475 →ame: legal name, regulator): Merrill Lynch (South Africa): Merrill Lynch South Africa (Pty) Ltd., regulated by The Financial Service Board; MLI (UK): Merrill Lynch International, regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Prudential Regulation Authority PRA); Merrill Lynch (Australia): Merrill Lynch Equities (
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ad | 16 November 2016 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014735 --- PAGE BREAK --- target. It is possible that Trump’s election could weaken fiscal discipline in the Eurozone over the medium term, but we are more concerned by the non-trivial risk that the ECB may disappoint in the December meeting by either not extending q
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014736 →rities Authority; Merrill Lynch (Russia): O00 Merrill Lynch Securities, Moscow, regulated by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation; Merri DIFC}: Merrill Lynch International (DIFC Branch}, regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana, S.AS.V., regu
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014785 →Entities connected to both Merrill Lynch International and Eurozone

United Kingdom
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION
Seoul
LOCATIONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
the Financial Services Agency
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONBank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
United States
LOCATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION