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LPF&S [email protected] First came Brexit, then Donald Trump’s election as the president of the most powerful co
17 Short US Sy rates — Two and a half Fed hikes priced by the rates market for 2017- 18 are not consistent with aggressive fiscal easing promised by Trump. Bankof America Merrill Lynch 16 November 2016 Corrected FX and Rates Global 2. Short US 10y real rates — After the violent repricing of inflatio
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014731 →d’s tightening cycles. 6. Buy USD call/CNH put — President Trump will need a weak USD, but President Xi needs a we
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014731 →16 November 2016 05:30AM EST HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014731 --- PAGE BREAK --- Introduction David Woo MLPF&S [email protected] First came Brexit, then Donald Trump’s election as the president of the most powerful country in the world. The world has changed. Possibly irrevocably so. These ground shifts have been b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014732 →ffect on MXN We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump’s effects on the Mexican peso. Our analysis suggest
Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Liquid Insight Trump’s effect on MXN Key takeaways ¢ We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump's potential effects on the Mexican peso ¢ Our analysis suggests t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010609 →ohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Liquid Insight Trump’s effect on MXN Key takeaways ¢ We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump's potential effects on the Mexican peso ¢ Our analysis suggests the exchange rate is perhaps as much as 15% undervalued « We remain neutral for now g
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010609 →cional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financia
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010614 →Price Objective Change
west footprint with its low unemployment and a strong manufacturing base. While commenting on the potential for relief coming out of DC under the new Trump administration, management noted that shortage of skilled workers was probably the biggest issue impeding businesses in its footprint versus higher t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014324 →_OVERSIGHT_014364 --- PAGE BREAK --- proposals. Mr. Trump and congress could also ultimately defer to the S
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014365 →atory Organiza CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisién Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentin japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch Financial Supervisory Service; Merrill Lynch (Taiwan): Merrill Lync
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014394 →Investment Strategy
ics, diplomacy and US economic cycle The biggest risk to our scenario is the implications for Japan’s diplomatic and geopolitical environment of the Donald Trump presidency in the US. The likelihood of agreement on the TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) has already declined and been priced into the market, but an
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014405 →ser to Europe under such a scenario, raising the incentive to sign the Japan-EU EPA (Economic Partner Agreement), positive for related stocks. If the Trump presidency tips the US towards isolationism, we expect Japan’s spending on defense to increase. If this results in higher spending on Japan’s Self De
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014405 →cional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financia
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014408 →Quantitative Analysis
reform OK, maybe it’s not as inevitable as death and taxes, but some form of corporate tax reform seems likely. It is a stated priority of President Trump and has widespread Congressional support. We here focus on four components that could have big equity implications. We assess the impacts at a market
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023069 →x reform seems likely. It is a stated priority of President Trump and has widespread Congressional support. We here
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023069 →cional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financia
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →s Japanese real interest rates can actually fall. Watch Abe-Trump meeting - coordination or conflict? Given the high uncertainty, clarifications on Trump’s policies on trade and currency will be important for the Japanese market going forward. A potential Abe-Trump meeting in New York this Thursday (17
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014424 →cional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by the Financia
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014429 →Estimate Change
long term. Since the presidential election, the ’trump tax rally’ that has arguably lifted the broader S
ated by the Comisién Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisidn Nacional de japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branc Financial Supervisory Servi
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014885 →Entities connected to both Donald Trump and Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd.

George W. Bush
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Tokyo
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Australia
LOCATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America, N.A.
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATION