Epstein Secrets

s Japanese real interest rates can actually fall. Watch Abe-Trump meeting - coordination or conflict? Given the high uncertainty, clarifications on Trump’s policies on trade and currency will be important for the Japanese market going forward. A potential Abe-Trump meeting in New York this Thursday (17

losures on page 6 to 8. 11686246 Timestamp: 13 November 2016 06:10PM EST Bankof America Merrill Lynch 14 November 2016 Investment Strategy Japan Shusuke Yamada, CFA >> FX/Equity Strategist Merrill Lynch (iapan) #8] 3 6225 8515 [email protected] Paul Ciana, CMT Technical Strategist MLPF&S +1 646 855

e trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dr

Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontlo

am Page for Full List of Contributors 10Y real rates. CNH a hedge vs trade risk. Trump extends some trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dramatic moves. Som1e of those moves are extending trends that had already started — higher yields, hi

e. That is particularly the case if the Fed under President Trump is made more hawkish as our economists think it p

LPF&S [email protected] First came Brexit, then Donald Trump’s election as the president of the most powerful co

17 Short US Sy rates — Two and a half Fed hikes priced by the rates market for 2017- 18 are not consistent with aggressive fiscal easing promised by Trump. Bankof America Merrill Lynch 16 November 2016 Corrected FX and Rates Global 2. Short US 10y real rates — After the violent repricing of inflatio

d’s tightening cycles. 6. Buy USD call/CNH put — President Trump will need a weak USD, but President Xi needs a we

16 November 2016 05:30AM EST HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014731 --- PAGE BREAK --- Introduction David Woo MLPF&S [email protected] First came Brexit, then Donald Trump’s election as the president of the most powerful country in the world. The world has changed. Possibly irrevocably so. These ground shifts have been b

ffect on MXN We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump’s effects on the Mexican peso. Our analysis suggest

Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Liquid Insight Trump’s effect on MXN Key takeaways ¢ We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump's potential effects on the Mexican peso ¢ Our analysis suggests t

ohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Liquid Insight Trump’s effect on MXN Key takeaways ¢ We provide an empirical analysis of Donald Trump's potential effects on the Mexican peso ¢ Our analysis suggests the exchange rate is perhaps as much as 15% undervalued « We remain neutral for now g

errill Lynch (Japan) +81 3 6225 7747 [email protected] Yang Chen Rates Strategist Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong) +852 3508 8695 [email protected] Shusuke Yamada, CFA FX Strategist Merrill Lynch (Japan) +813 6225 8515 [email protected] Global Emerging Markets Claudio Irigoyen LatAm FI/FX Strategy/Ec

losures on page 5 to 6. 11687576 Timestamp: 17 November 2016 03:30PM EST Bankof America Merrill Lynch 18 November 2016 Investment Strategy Japan Shusuke Yamada, CFA >> FX/Equity Strategist Merrill Lynch (apan) +81 3 6225 8515 [email protected] Exhibit 1: Sector rotation and inventory cycle Slowdown

ics, diplomacy and US economic cycle The biggest risk to our scenario is the implications for Japan’s diplomatic and geopolitical environment of the Donald Trump presidency in the US. The likelihood of agreement on the TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) has already declined and been priced into the market, but an

ser to Europe under such a scenario, raising the incentive to sign the Japan-EU EPA (Economic Partner Agreement), positive for related stocks. If the Trump presidency tips the US towards isolationism, we expect Japan’s spending on defense to increase. If this results in higher spending on Japan’s Self De

see USDJPY reaching 120 next year and Japanese reflation, bullish for Japanese equities, particularly the banks. Huge focus on Banks/Financials post Trump election, they're the big winners. The Banking sector is the main beneficiary of higher rates/less regulation overhang. Investors are still underwe

macro trade" of short yen / buy equities is also a possibility. Our Buy-rated stocks in bank, insurance and cyclical sectors are listed in Table 1. Shusuke Yamada, CFA FX/Equity Strategist Merrill ~ | Global Research Bankof America a Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014400 --- PAGE BREAK --- Japan Economics