Epstein Secrets

e trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dr

Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontlo

am Page for Full List of Contributors 10Y real rates. CNH a hedge vs trade risk. Trump extends some trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dramatic moves. Som1e of those moves are extending trends that had already started — higher yields, hi

5E put spread Dec 16 expiry James Barty Equity vol Long NKY short SPX Dec 18 variance swap Benjamin Bowler Long SX5E short SPX Dec 18 variance spread Abhinandan Deb Eurostoxx 2y/3y put calendar Abhinandan Deb Short EUR/SEK Kamal Sharma Long USD/CNY call Claudio Piron FX Short GBP/USD Kamal Sharma Long USD/AUD lan

r- end target of 2.85% for the 10y rate (just above the median forecast). Long-term rates have remained low due to uncertainty around Fiscal policy (Trump’s plans on infrastructure spending), subdued inflation expectations and a slower than expected Fed hiking cycle. On the other hand, a near full-emplo

OUSE_OVERSIGHT_023610 --- PAGE BREAK --- Research Analysts Benjamin Bowler Equity-Linked Analyst MLPF&S +1 415 676 3595 [email protected] Abhinandan Deb >> Equity-Linked Analyst MLI (UK) +44 20 7995 7148 [email protected] Anshul Gupta >> Equity-Linked Analyst MLI (UK) +44 20 7996 7062 agupta

ntion) may still find that option markets are currently pricing too little of a move. However, as we have recently argued the debate about whether a Trump win would be good or bad for markets coupled with the inability to exactly pinpoint real risks are likely headwinds to a sizeable market shock. 8 Gl

ch (Hong Kong) +852 3508 3921 [email protected] Clovis Couasnon >> Equity-Linked Analyst MLI (UK) +44 20 7995 0303 [email protected] Abhinandan Deb >> Equity-Linked Analyst MLI (UK) +44 20 7995 7148 [email protected] Jason Galazidis >> Equity-Linked Analyst MLI (UK) +44 20 7996 5713 ja