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90, Euro area and US Q4-07 Vertical lines indicate the peaks in easing for long term real rates Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Haver Analytics LP, Bloomberg EFTA01476084 Finance LP, ECB, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Eurostat, BEA, CAO Similarly, the output gap has mirrored the dynamics of credit,
% Materials 17.7 16.5 11.3 10.9 EFTA01476126 20.4 18.8 12.1 11.6 18.5 17.8 17.3 16.0 33.2 11.6 13.4 12.5 Diversified Consumer Services 8.0 Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure 8.4 19.3 18.0 Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods 16.4 14.6 20.5 19.3 15.3 14.3 21.5 19.8 81.5 65.2 18.1 17.1 18.1 17.5 Beverages Food Product
trength 2015E 20502100 $119 17.4x 17.6x $41 2016E 22502300 $125 18.2x 16.7x $44 Date 16 Nov 2015 8 Nov 2015 1 Nov 2015 23 Oct 2015 Bloomberg Ticker DBUSHIFC DBUSBRTE DBUSCICG DBUSDMST Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Deutsche Bank does and seeks to do business with companies covered in
9 16.7 24.2 18.8 19.6 23.0 20.1 15.9 17.3 13.7 8.6 19.5 16.6 21.2 14.5 21.1 80.7 18.9 18.1 12.7 Diversified Consumer Services 8.2 Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure 18.2 Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods 14.7 20.0 13.6 19.4 64.6 17.8 17.5 Beverages Food Products Household Products Personal Products Tob
Down Down Down Down Down Down Source: FRB, Bloomberg Finance LP, I/B/E/S, Deutsche Bank A signal's ri
9 16.7 24.2 18.8 19.6 23.0 20.1 15.9 17.3 13.7 8.6 19.5 16.6 21.2 14.5 21.1 80.7 18.9 18.1 12.7 Diversified Consumer Services 8.2 Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure 18.2 Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods 14.7 20.0 13.6 19.4 64.6 17.8 17.5 Beverages Food Products Household Products Personal Products Tob
Entities connected to both Bloomberg L.P. and Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure

Samantha Power
PERSON
Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATIONBloomberg Finance LP
ORGANIZATIONUtilities
ORGANIZATIONBrent
ORGANIZATION
Health Care
ORGANIZATIONElectric Utilities
ORGANIZATIONJu Wang
PERSONCommercial Services & Supplies
ORGANIZATIONLeisure Products
ORGANIZATIONRoad & Rail
ORGANIZATIONIndependent Power Producers
ORGANIZATIONHealth Care Providers & Services
ORGANIZATIONAir Freight & Logistics
ORGANIZATIONDiversified Financial Services
ORGANIZATIONSector and Industry Allocation
ORGANIZATIONAuto Components
ORGANIZATIONMulti-Utilities
ORGANIZATIONReal Estate Mgmt.
ORGANIZATIONDiversified Consumer Services
ORGANIZATION