Epstein Secrets

90, Euro area and US Q4-07 Vertical lines indicate the peaks in easing for long term real rates Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Haver Analytics LP, Bloomberg EFTA01476084 Finance LP, ECB, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Eurostat, BEA, CAO Similarly, the output gap has mirrored the dynamics of credit,

7 18.5 17.5 16.9 16.3 21.3 20.1 12.3 11.8 17.0 15.8 14.6 14.3 21.3 19.9 10.5 9.5 16.9 16.4 12.4 12.7 11.8 11.2 Consumer Finance 14.7 13.6 Diversified Financial Services Insurance REITs Real Estate Mgmt. & Development Thrifts & Mortgage Finance Equa lweight Consumer 13.1% 13.0% Discretionary 20.9 19.3 Auto

trength 2015E 20502100 $119 17.4x 17.6x $41 2016E 22502300 $125 18.2x 16.7x $44 Date 16 Nov 2015 8 Nov 2015 1 Nov 2015 23 Oct 2015 Bloomberg Ticker DBUSHIFC DBUSBRTE DBUSCICG DBUSDMST Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Deutsche Bank does and seeks to do business with companies covered in

PE PE 15.1 13.5 21.8 20.4 27.2 23.6 19.5 18.8 17.1 16.3 12.2 11.5 29.8 26.6 19.0 17.9 16.6 16.1 21.4 20.2 12.2 11.7 17.5 16.3 12.1 11.5 Diversified Financial Services 15.0 13.9 Insurance 11.7 11.2 REITs Real Estate Mgmt. & Development Thrifts & Mortgage Finance 15.0 14.7 21.2 19.8 10.8 9.8 17.1 16.5 12.6 1

Down Down Down Down Down Down Source: FRB, Bloomberg Finance LP, I/B/E/S, Deutsche Bank A signal's ri

PE PE 15.1 13.5 21.8 20.4 27.2 23.6 19.5 18.8 17.1 16.3 12.2 11.5 29.8 26.6 19.0 17.9 16.6 16.1 21.4 20.2 12.2 11.7 17.5 16.3 12.1 11.5 Diversified Financial Services 15.0 13.9 Insurance 11.7 11.2 REITs Real Estate Mgmt. & Development Thrifts & Mortgage Finance 15.0 14.7 21.2 19.8 10.8 9.8 17.1 16.5 12.6 1