Epstein Secrets

on Thomson Reuters Breakingviews.com Greylock Bloomberg Businessweek Thomson Reuters Accenture Busines

ent Fluor Corporation USA Nikolai Dobrinov Vice-President ICT Group of Companies Russian Federation Daniel Doctoroff Chief Executive Officer Bloomberg LP USA Evgeny Dod Chief Executive Officer JSC RusHydro Russian Federation Volkert Doeksen Chairman and Managing Partner Alpinvest Partners BV Nether

and Chief Executive Officer Director Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary, Permanent Representative of Latvia Executive Vice-President, Alcoa, and Group President, Engineered Products and Solutions Professor Acting Chief Executive Officer Founder and Executive Director Chief Executive

est *Prices are current as of the end of the previous trading session unless otherwise indicated and are sourced from local exchanges via Reuters, Bloomberg and other vendors . Other information is sourced from Deutsche Bank, subject companies, and other sources. For disclosures pertaining to recommend

800 1000 1200 0 2011 2012 2013 Base case 2014 2015E 2016E Risk case Note: *Mkt cap weighted BHPB, Rio, Barrick, Freeport, Alcoa, Norilsk, Alcoa, Glencore, Southern Copper, Anglo American and Vale Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Company reports, Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Bloomberg Fi

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0 2011 2012 2013 Base case 2014 2015E 2016E Risk case Note: *Mkt cap weighted BHPB, Rio, Barrick, Freeport, Alcoa, Norilsk, Alcoa, Glencore, Southern Copper, Anglo American and Vale Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Company reports, Source: Deutsche Bank Resear

waiting for. J♦: Are there other companies that you think have overextended themselves in lending operations? You were recently mentioned in a Bloomberg article about Signet Jewelers (NYSE: SIG). MC: Well I think SIG is a great short because not a fan of roll-ups in general. and definitely not a

egment. Arconic. has a 10% EBITDA margin lag relative to PCP. which features a similar product catalogue) 2) Misunderstanding of quality nature of Alcoa's core businesses 3 ) Aluminum market may remain oversupplied. but alumina should be supportive (China will likely replace its high cost smelters.

ab Emirates Kenya Better Center for Science and USA International Affairs, Harvard University Societe Generale de Financement du Quebec (SGF) Bloomberg BusinessWeek The Financial Times SunGard Markstone Capital Group Evercore Partners Inc. Glencore International AG Marsh Inc. (M&MC) Canada Un

or and Political Commentator Vice-President, Intel Capital and Managing Director Senior Editor-at-Large President Group Chief Financial Officer. Alcoa Global Rolled Products Chairman of the Board and Managing Officer Chief Executive Officer Chief Executive Officer Executive Chairman Albert L.

90, Euro area and US Q4-07 Vertical lines indicate the peaks in easing for long term real rates Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Haver Analytics LP, Bloomberg EFTA01476084 Finance LP, ECB, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Eurostat, BEA, CAO Similarly, the output gap has mirrored the dynamics of credit,

s taken the industry lead in the base metals, with cuts of 500kt in mined zinc (c.3.5% of the market) and copper (c.2% of the market). In aluminium Alcoa announced cuts of 500kt (1% of global supply), but we think more cuts from China is needed to be truly effective. More recently, Chinese smelters