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Microsoft Word - 07-25-11 - EOTM - White Castle.docx
me to fail. Industrial production Index, 100 = January 2007 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 15 2007 2009 2010 2011 Source: INE, CSO, ISTAT, NSS, Eurostat, Bundesbank, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Periphery = Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain. 2008 * The current EFSF lending capacit
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →e latest * Private sector involvement in Greek debt rollover, committed in principle by 30 financial institutions listed in the document released by the Institute of International Finance; target participation rate of 90%; exchange appears to result in Selective Default credit rating * Voluntary participation options include exchanging
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →o fiscal transfers through joint and severally guaranteed Eurobonds. Will Germany cave in on this as well? Who knows. I spoke last fall to a former Bundesbank member and professor of economics at Bonn University who organized the petition of 150 German economists in 1998 arguing for a postponement of the E
chael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 1985 1988 Source: European Commission. Postscript: As a reminder, the Institute of International Finance is attempting to corral private sector Greek bondholders into a voluntary exchange, with losses ranging from 60%-70% on an NPV basis. Private sector
Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
e latest * Private sector involvement in Greek debt rollover, committed in principle by 30 financial institutions listed in the document released by the Institute of International Finance: target participation rate of 90%; exchange appears to result in Selective Default credit rating * Voluntary participation options Include exchanging
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025217 →ain & Portugal 16% 105. 14% 100 17% i 10% od B% 85 G% Germany ad Ao, a aa 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0% aa ae ; Source: INE, CSO, ISTAT, NSS, Eurostat, Bundesbank, J.P. Morgan Ve7O gf TOG 188 TO 1D ZO aT Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Periphery =Portugal, Ireland, lialy, Source: J.P. Morgan Private B
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025218 →Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
or parties are unflinching supporters of the European project, and will do whatever it takes to prevent a break-up. The objections from members of he Bundesbank are described as lonely voices of opposition that carry no weight [a]. But how large are the costs goin‹ to be? German politicians and voters may see
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031162 →ty Facility FICA Federal Insurance Contributions Act EU European Union IMF International Monetary Fund HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031163 --- PAGE BREAK --- IF Institute of International Finance ECB European Central Bank EMU European Monetary Union AMT Alternative Minimum Tax A White Castle hamburger is smaller than its competitors' offerings
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031164 →Entities connected to both Bundesbank and the Institute of International Finance

JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATIONMichael Cembalest
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSONJ.P. Morgan Securities LLC
ORGANIZATIONthe European Monetary Union
ORGANIZATION
Ronald Reagan
PERSON
Eurostat
ORGANIZATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Mitch McConnell
PERSON
Belgium
LOCATION
Weidmann
PERSON
Bernard Connolly
PERSON
Harry Reid
PERSON
Office of Management and Budget
ORGANIZATION
Empirical Research Partners
ORGANIZATION
Moody’s
ORGANIZATION
the Heritage Foundation
ORGANIZATION
White Castle
ORGANIZATIONthe Gang of Six
ORGANIZATIONThe Peterson Foundation
ORGANIZATION