Epstein Secrets

Health Care vs. Energy & Financials 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 0 5 Tech + Health Care Energy + Financials Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Compustat, S&P Earnings weights of Tech & Health Care vs. Energy & Financials S&P EPS estimates & targets: 2015E S&P EPS: $119 2015 end S&P target: 2100

2016 PE PE Underweight Health Care Providers & Services 2015 2016 PE PE 16.3 15.5 David Bianco,(1) 212 250 8169 Ju Wang, (1) 212 250 7911 Winnie Nip (1) 415 617 3297 EFTA01476128 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity European Equity Strategy: 7% upside in 2016E but

oil and strong $ weighed on S&P EPS Weak oil and Russian default weighed on S&P EPS Recession S&P 500 Trailing 4-qtr EPS (y/y) Source: IBES, Compustat, Deutsche Bank CAGR avg. Page 10 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986

must = real CoE - div yld to justify a PE = 1/- real CoE. Date 20 November 2015 David Bianco Strategist (+1) 212 250-8169 [email protected] Winnie Nip Strategist (+1) 415 617-3297 [email protected] S&P 500 Key Forecasts Price Ju Wang Strategist (+1) 212 250-7911 [email protected] 2089.17 Nex

49 47 60 138 EFTA01476503 49 393 83 53 90 112 308 84 66 187 54 55 54 74 35 341 69 20 95 62 37 112 Source: Deutsche Bank, Compustat, Thomson Reuters *Net Buyback Yield is calculated as (trailing 12-month buyback expenditures less option exercise proceeds and less stock option ex

lead analyst(s) has not and will not receive any compensation for providing a specific recommendation or view in this report. David Bianco/Ju Wang/Winnie Nip Equity rating key Buy: Based on a current 12- month view of total share-holder return (TSR = percentage change in share price from current price