Epstein Secrets

3.6 -3.3 -2.5 -3.4 -9.7 -7.6 -3.2 62.0 120.0 175.0 250.0 4.6 -0.3 -0.9 CA bal., % GDP Source: National authorities, Deutsche Bank Research 0.2 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 41 EFTA01476081 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Bond Market Strategy: Peak policy divergence IIThe

0.25% 5.0% 2.5% 3% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.59 3.37 3.65 9.33 2.25 Figure 7: Our intrinsic valuation model S&P 500 Capi tal ized EPS Valuat ion Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS EFTA01476121 "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS No

.4 16.3 Semiconductors Software Communications Equipment Electronic Equipment 2.8% 5.0% Utilities Electric Utilities Gas Utilities 15.4 14.9 Independent Power Producers Multi-Utilities 2.3% 2.5% Telecom 12.4 12.7 Telecommunication Services Banks Capital Markets 16.4% 16.5% Financials 13.7 13.0 Overweight 201

el. We set DPS equals to EPS and assume long-term growth is only inflation. Figure 42: Capitalize steady state earnings at the real cost of equity Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P

onic Equipment Banks Capital Markets 14.0 13.2 Consumer Finance Electric Utilities Gas Utilities 2.9% 2.3% 3.4% 2.6% Utilities 15.7 15.2 Independent Power Producers Multi-Utilities Telecom 12.6 13.0 Telecommunication Services Overweight EFTA01476318 2015 2016 PE PE 15.1 13.5 21.8 20.4 27.2 23.6 19.5 1

Insights 20 November 2015 Page 26 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Figure 52: Our S&P Intrinsic Valuation Model S&P 500 Capitalized EPS Valuation Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P

onic Equipment Banks Capital Markets 14.0 13.2 Consumer Finance Electric Utilities Gas Utilities 2.9% 2.3% 3.4% 2.6% Utilities 15.7 15.2 Independent Power Producers Multi-Utilities Telecom 12.6 13.0 Telecommunication Services Overweight EFTA01476464 2015 2016 PE PE 15.1 13.5 21.8 20.4 27.2 23.6 19.5 1