Epstein Secrets

3.6 -3.3 -2.5 -3.4 -9.7 -7.6 -3.2 62.0 120.0 175.0 250.0 4.6 -0.3 -0.9 CA bal., % GDP Source: National authorities, Deutsche Bank Research 0.2 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 41 EFTA01476081 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Bond Market Strategy: Peak policy divergence IIThe

0.25% 5.0% 2.5% 3% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.59 3.37 3.65 9.33 2.25 Figure 7: Our intrinsic valuation model S&P 500 Capi tal ized EPS Valuat ion Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS EFTA01476121 "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS No

age 55 EFTA01476124 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity 8 December 2015 Page 56 Deutsche Bank AG/London Figure 8: S&P 500 Advised Sector and Industry Allocation (2014/15 PE based on DB US Equity Strategy top down sector and industry EPS estimates) Market Advised Weight (%)Weight (%) Sector 2015 2016 PE

el. We set DPS equals to EPS and assume long-term growth is only inflation. Figure 42: Capitalize steady state earnings at the real cost of equity Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P

476316 Source: Deutsche Bank EFTA01476317 US Equity Insights 20 November 2015 Page 4 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Figure 8: S&P 500 Advised Sector and Industry Allocation (2014/15 PE based on DB US Equity Strategy top down sector and industry EPS estimates) Market Advised Weight (%) Weight (%) Sector 2015 2016 P

Insights 20 November 2015 Page 26 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Figure 52: Our S&P Intrinsic Valuation Model S&P 500 Capitalized EPS Valuation Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P

below 100 bps below 100 bps EFTA01476463 US Equity Insights 20 November 2015 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc Page 35 Figure 64: S&P 500 Advised Sector and Industry Allocation (2014/15 PE based on DB US Equity Strategy top down sector and industry EPS estimates) Market Advised Weight (%) Weight (%) Sector 2015 2016 P