Epstein Secrets

3.6 -3.3 -2.5 -3.4 -9.7 -7.6 -3.2 62.0 120.0 175.0 250.0 4.6 -0.3 -0.9 CA bal., % GDP Source: National authorities, Deutsche Bank Research 0.2 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 41 EFTA01476081 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Bond Market Strategy: Peak policy divergence IIThe

0.25% 5.0% 2.5% 3% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.59 3.37 3.65 9.33 2.25 Figure 7: Our intrinsic valuation model S&P 500 Capi tal ized EPS Valuat ion Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS EFTA01476121 "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS No

8.3 10.6 10.6 20.5 29.3 29.5 22.9 21.3 20.0 17.2 16.4 17.3 16.0 18.4 16.8 24.5 22.4 23.8 21.7 Equa lweight 2015 2016 PE PE Underweight Health Care Providers & Services 2015 2016 PE PE 16.3 15.5 David Bianco,(1) 212 250 8169 Ju Wang, (1) 212 250 7911 Winnie Nip (1) 415 617 3297 EFTA01476128 8 December 2015

el. We set DPS equals to EPS and assume long-term growth is only inflation. Figure 42: Capitalize steady state earnings at the real cost of equity Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P

3 16.7 25.0 22.8 23.6 21.5 EFTA01476321 20.9 12.3 18.8 17.4 33.2 19.3 11.7 18.0 16.1 11.7 Equalweight 2015 2016 PE PE Underweight Health Care Providers & Services 2015 2016 PE PE 16.0 15.2 EFTA01476322 US Equity Insights 20 November 2015 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 5 Figure 9: S&P EPS Model by

Insights 20 November 2015 Page 26 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Figure 52: Our S&P Intrinsic Valuation Model S&P 500 Capitalized EPS Valuation Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P

3 16.7 25.0 22.8 23.6 21.5 EFTA01476467 20.9 12.3 18.8 17.4 33.2 19.3 11.7 18.0 16.1 11.7 Equalweight 2015 2016 PE PE Underweight Health Care Providers & Services 2015 2016 PE PE 16.0 15.2 EFTA01476468 20 November 2015 US Equity Insights Figure 65: Sector and Industry ETFs Note: Please see DB note "Eq