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eas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at http://gm.db.com. 3. Country-Specific Disclosures Australia and
l Head of Research Marcel Cassard Global Head CB&S Research Asia-Pacific Fergus Lynch Regional Head International Locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Australia Tel: D t iei n n London EC2N 2EQ United Kin dom Tel: Deutsche Bank AG 1rma Tel: .1111111. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. United S
rector Equity Research North America Steve Pollard Regional Head Global Disclaimer The information and opinions in this report were prepared by Deutsche Bank AG or one of its affiliates (collectively "Deutsche Bank"). The information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from public source
ider this report in deciding to trade on a proprietary basis. Unless governing law provides otherwise, all transactions should be executed through the Deutsche Bank entity in the investor's home jurisdiction. In the U.S. this report is approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a member of th
10: Turning Up the Volume: Buy USD/GBP variance swap and AUD/USD variance swap Research Team London Bilal Hafeez James Malcolm Henrik Gullberg George Saravelos Caio Natividade Siddharth Kapoor Oliver Harvey Nicholas Weng New York Alan Ruskin Daniel Brehon Drausio Giacomelli Guilherme Marone Mauro R
scussed in this report is available upon request. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any person for any purpose without Deutsche Bank's prior written Copyright @ 2015 Deutsche Bank AG consent. Please cite source when 17th Floor, 11372 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. information at quo
of an underlying security, effectively assume currency risk. Unless governing law provides otherwise, all transactions should be executed through the Deutsche Bank entity in the investor's home jurisdiction. United States: Approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Bank Securities Incorporated, a member of FIN
Hindocha Global Chief Operating Officer Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International Locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Level 16 Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets Sydney, NSW 2000 Australia Tel: (61) 2 8258 1234 Deutsche Bank AG London 1 Great Winchester Street
cer Taimur Baig Gustavo Canonero Strategy Dominic Konstam Francis Yared Oleg Melentyev Jim Reid David Bianco Sebastian Raedler Alan Ruskin George Saravelos Michael Hsueh Binky Chadha Peter Garber Global Head of Research Global Head, Macro Research Telephone +44 20 754 55502 +852 2203 8303 Email
deas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at http://gm.db.com. 3. Country-Specific Disclosures Australia and N
ty Research. Germany Steve Pollard Regional Head Americas Research Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Securines Inc. Deutsche Bank Place Grolk Gallusstralle 10.14 Reale Hongkong 2-11-1 Nagatadb Level 16 60272 Frankfurt am Man International Commerce Centre. Sanno Park Tower Corn
forecasts lower. We now see EUFt/LISD moving down to 1.00 by year-end. 90cents by 2016 and down to a trough of 85cents by 2017. Date 9 March 2015 George Saravelos Strategist a We also foresee a continuation of low and flat global yield curves: Europe will continue being a major source of global imbalances f
3.6 -3.3 -2.5 -3.4 -9.7 -7.6 -3.2 62.0 120.0 175.0 250.0 4.6 -0.3 -0.9 CA bal., % GDP Source: National authorities, Deutsche Bank Research 0.2 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 41 EFTA01476081 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Bond Market Strategy: Peak policy divergence IIThe
0.25% 5.0% 2.5% 3% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.59 3.37 3.65 9.33 2.25 Figure 7: Our intrinsic valuation model S&P 500 Capi tal ized EPS Valuat ion Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS EFTA01476121 "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS No
ally turns. We anticipate extremes in the likes of AUD/USD, NZD/USD and USD/CAD at 0.60, 0.50 and 1.45 respectively. Alan Ruskin (1) 212-250-8646 George Saravelos (44) 20-754-79118 Figure 6: USD/JPY and USD/EUR performance depending of US yield curve USD/JPY and USD/EUR performance depending of US yield cu
deas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at futo:llgm.db,corn. Page 2 Deutsche Bank AG/London CONFIDENTIAL —
tion, the undersigned lead analyst(s) has not and will not receive any compensation for providing a specific recommendation or view in this report. George Saravelos Regulatory Disclosures 1 Important Additional Conflict Disclosures Aside from within this report, important conflict disclosures can also be found
G or its subsidiaries. Banking and lending services are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group. Brokerage services are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment
y Adam, our US Wealth Management CIO, gives a brief US macro update and his views on the Chinese equity markets. FX Daily — Co-Head of FX Research, George Saravelos, revisits his bearish EUR/USD view in light of large-scale European capital outflows and an impending Fed tightening cycle. Paul Morris Managing
deas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at futo:llgm.db,corn. Page 2 Deutsche Bank AG/London CONFIDENTIAL -
tion, the undersigned lead analyst(s) has not and will not receive any compensation for providing a specific recommendation or view in this report. George Saravelos Regulatory Disclosures 1 Important Additional Conflict Disclosures Aside from within this report, important conflict disclosures can also be found
AG or its subsidiaries. Banking and lending services are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group. Brokerage services are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment
dam, our US Wealth Management CIO, gives a brief US macro update and his views on the Chinese equity markets. • FX Daily - Co-Head of FX Research, George Saravelos, revisits his bearish EUR/USD view in light of large-scale European capital outflows and an impending Fed tightening cycle. Paul Morris Managing D
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